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  • Jason welcomes back guest Martin Armstrong, a renowned economic forecaster. The conversation touches on Armstrong’s background, experiences in the financial industry, and his computer-driven approach to analysis. Armstrong’s economic confidence model predicts a peak on May 7th, signaling a shift towards a recession, civil unrest, and international conflicts into 2028. He emphasizes the significant role of the U.S. as a consumer-based economy and the global demand for American products, asserting that despite challenges, the U.S. dollar remains a strong reserve currency. Armstrong also discusses economic dynamics in Europe, Japan, and China.

    Key Takeaways:

    0:46 A historic overview by Martin Armstrong and the currencies

    5:50 Data driven approach

    9:30 Economic Confidence Model

    10:21 May 7, 2024: save the date

    13:41 The past 10 years and what it means to us now

    19:07 The future is… stagflation and Inflation

    23:52 CBDCs and big tech

    ArmstrongEconomics.com

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  • Jason welcomes Joshua Simon, founder of Simon Commercial Real Estate, as they discuss the state of commercial real estate. Josh highlights the strength of retail, especially in open-air strip centers and grocery-anchored spaces. Simon emphasized the retail renaissance, citing low vacancy rates and increased demand. Industrial properties faced challenges due to overbuilding, particularly in larger formats. Simon recommended investing in debt instruments or high-yielding retail assets, focusing on quick-service restaurants with strong operators and understanding lease structures. He also noted the value in acquiring vacant spaces from struggling tenants due to the scarcity of real estate.

    https://SimonCRE.com/

    #CommercialRealEstate #RetailRenaissance #IndustrialProperty #InvestmentStrategy

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  • Jason discusses the topic of decentralized finance (defi) and its potential advantages in the cryptocurrency world. He also touches on the issue of the US housing shortage and how it presents opportunities for real estate investors. Additionally, Jason highlights the benefits of joining the “Fire Your Managers” program and announced an upcoming Empowered Investor pro meeting that will host a guest who will present a special “tenant insurance” product. Finally, he invites everyone to join their community to grow their real estate portfolio.

    Jason then interviews Professor Campbell R. Harvey from Duke University’s Fuqua School of Business and the author of DeFi and the Future of Finance as they talk about the yield curve and Decentralized Finance. Harvey discusses the phenomenon of an inverted yield curve, which has predicted every recession for the last several decades. Harvey expressed his concern about the current inverted yield curve, which has been in place for 12 months, traditionally leading to a recession. Jason and Campbell also discuss the significance of an inverted yield curve and the potential of decentralized finance (defi) in the financial world. They identified problems with the current financial system and the possibility of solutions through DeFi, such as the need for an alternative to the SWIFT system for wire transfers and the ability to store and use value in transactions. With the advent of WEB 3.0 and the decentralization of monetary assets, DeFi is truly set to revolutionize the world in all economic aspects especially finance.

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  • Jason welcomes Selma Hepp, the Chief Economist of Core Logic. They discuss the challenging state of the real estate market and noted that the market was facing issues due to rising mortgage rates, which led to a decline in transactions and mortgage refinances. Additionally, she highlighted that existing homeowners were benefiting from this situation due to their low mortgage rates and increasing equity. Selma also pointed out that the volume of home sales was down by 18% last year and was expected to decline by a similar amount this year, while mortgage origins were likely to be down by 30-35%. She also mentioned that the inventory of available homes for sale was at its lowest level historically, a quarter of where it was before the great recession. Despite this challenging market, Selma didn’t expect much change until the spring of next year.

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  • Jason discusses the state of the economy, focusing on the role of the Federal Reserve and potential supply chain issues. He also shared his opinion on the strength of the US dollar and Argentina’s decision to adopt it. Towards the end, Jason addressed the issue of inflation and its steady fall since June of the previous year. He also discussed changes in active inventory across various local real estate markets, comparing it to 2019, and highlighted the importance of inventory in the real estate market.

    Then Jason and Brian Beaulieu, Chief Economist at ITR Economics, talks about the state of the global economy, particularly in China and Europe and the potential for deflation in the real estate market in the early 2030s, the expected trajectory of inflation and the Federal Reserve’s response to it, and the state of the US housing market. They also highlight the resilience of the real estate market, even in a high-interest-rate environment, and the importance of being unleveraged in the United States and in demographically superior states.

    #EconomicOutlook #RealEstateInvesting #GlobalEconomicTrends #ChinaEconomicGrowth #DemographicChallenges #Inflation #InterestRates #HousingMarket #Affordability #CulturalShifts

    https://www.CalculatedRiskBlog.com/2023/01/housing-january-30th-weekly-update.html

    https://ITREconomics.com/

    Key Takeaways:

    Jason’s editorial

    1:29 Defeating inflation, US Dollar hegemony and Argentina

    4:30 FED- ready for the next crisis

    7:08 Local inventory numbers

    10:44 Shadow demand vs. shadow supply

    Brian Beaulieu interview

    12:21 Income property- getting the middle class wealthy

    14:12 Macro view on a global scale

    15:38 Chart: China is weakening and will continue to weaken

    16:25 Chart: Historic opportunity- India is the most populous country

    18:27 Making the case for deflation in the 2030’s

    22:21 Chart: This is only round one of inflation going forward

    25:36 Capitulation- buyers will eventually accept less

    29:46 How it all relates to the rental housing market

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  • Jason talks about the importance of understanding the relationship between household real estate value, mortgage debt, and GDP. The presented chart indicates increased equity and decreased mortgage debt as a percentage of GDP, highlighting a more stable housing market. He touches on the benefits of leveraging properties and he analyzes a chart on median sold prices based on bedroom count, revealing significant appreciation in lower-priced properties.

    Jason welcomes Len Kiefer, Deputy Chief Economist at Freddie Mac, as they discuss the current state of the real estate market. Despite concerns about rising interest rates, Kiefer highlighted the resilience of the U.S. economy, emphasizing the stability of the housing market throughout 2023. While acknowledging a potential slowdown in consumer spending due to higher rates, Kiefer pointed out that the housing market has seen low transaction volumes and reduced refinance activity, impacting affordability. He also discussed the unique situation of homeowners with ultra-low mortgage rates, estimating the value of their locked-in rates at around $55,000 per borrower. Kiefer predicted a gradual thawing of the market as consumers adapt to the new interest rate environment. He also underscored the importance of considering broader economic factors and demographic trends in understanding the housing market’s dynamics.

    #RealEstate #HousingMarket #EconomicOutlook #Millennials #HousingMarket #RealEstate #EconomicAnalysis

    Key Takeaways:

    Jason’s editorial

    1:28 Introducing Len Kiefer, Deputy Chief Economist at Freddie Mac

    1:46 Chart: Household real estate value and mortgage debt as percent of GDP

    4:43 FireYourManager.com

    5:41 RocketHomes Chart: Median sold price by bedroom count

    Len Kiefer interview

    8:33 The view from 30,000 feet

    11:24 Charts: Spike in mortgage rates made it very expensive for homeowners to move

    13:25 Chart: Historically low rates in previous years means there is no Refi incentive given today’s rates

    14:47 Chart: Homeowners locked into low mortgage rates are content to remain in their current homes

    20:53 Market is starting to thaw

    22:34 Chart: Due to savings from fixed mortgages, household spending may be less sensitive to financial conditions

    27:30 Chart: Housing demand robust on favorable Age demographics of FTHBs

    31:53 Chart: The U.S. faces a massive undersupply of housing

    34:40 Chart: Strong demand from FTHBs and low supply led to a surge in entry-level home prices

    38:32 Higher housing costs are contributing to more young adults living at home with their parents

    For more information visit https://www.freddiemac.com/research

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  • Today Jason talks about “shadow demand” in the housing market. He emphasizes the impact of demographics, particularly the 25 to 34 age group, where about 16% are still living at home, representing untapped demand. With 11 million potential homebuyers in this category, Jason explores the dynamics of supply and demand, debunking predictions of a looming shadow supply. He also touches on factors like low inventory, the influence of baby boomers staying in their homes, and potential wildcards like geopolitical risks affecting the housing market’s trajectory.

    Then Jason and Bridger finish their conversation as they delve into the housing market, the economy, and financial trends, noting that millennials and Gen Z are gradually entering it, causing a housing inventory shortage. Despite rising interest rates, the market still faces low inventory levels. The conversation shifts to the potential impact on banks due to an inverted yield curve, bond values, and the housing market’s reliance on new construction. They also explore the possibility of a banking crisis and discuss the Fed’s role in managing interest rates. Jason concludes with insights on the strength of the U.S. dollar, the perceived threat of BRICS nations, and the inevitability of central bank digital currencies, raising concerns about financial freedom.

    #peterschiff #RobertKiyosaki #ShadowDemand #SupplyAndDemand #RealEstate #HousingMarket #Economy #InterestRates #Banking #USDollar #BRICS #CBDC

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  • Jason discusses the impact of mortgage status on the US housing market and wealth distribution, highlighting the growing wealth gap and the formation of two socioeconomic classes due to approximately 40% of US homeowners not having a mortgage. He also touched on the performance of cyclical markets, particularly in luxury markets in Miami, New York, and California, attributing low sales volume to low inventory and high buyer demand. Lastly, he mentioned an upcoming cruise event and a monthly Zoom meeting for empowered investor pro members, in which they’ll be talking about insurance for landlords against tenant damage.

    Then Bridger Pennington of FundLaunch.com interviews Jason Hartman, renowned real estate expert. They delve into macroeconomics, market trends, and the impact of interest rates on housing affordability. Hartman emphasizes the unique value of today’s low-rate mortgages and challenges predictions of a housing crash. The discussion also covers inflation-induced debt strategies and the current housing inventory shortage. Insightful, forward-looking, and packed with actionable advice for investors, Jason provides a comprehensive understanding of the real estate landscape.

    https://www.FundLaunch.com

    #bridgerpennington #RealEstateInsights #HousingMarketDecode #MarketTrendsUnveiled #PropertyInvestmentWisdom #FinancialFreedomJourney #DebunkingRealEstateMyths

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  • Michael Zuber talks to Jason about the housing market and the potential for a housing crash. Jason provides insights into why a housing crash hasn’t occurred so far, emphasizing the need for millions of distressed sellers as a key ingredient for a crash. He also mentions that people who predict crashes often lack a comprehensive understanding of economic cycles and are influenced by past traumatic events like the 2007-2008 housing crash.

    Additionally, the conversation touches on unemployment and its potential impact on the housing market, with Jason arguing that banks are more likely to work with homeowners than rush to foreclose, especially if they have substantial equity in their properties. The discussion also briefly mentions the role of technology companies in the economy and the concept of leveraging in real estate.

    Overall, the conversation focuses on the factors affecting the housing market’s stability and the likelihood of a housing crash, with a critical view of those who sensationalize such predictions for personal gain.

    #HousingTrends #Economy #HousingMarket #EconomicCycles

    Key Takeaways:

    1:29 Packaged Commodities Investments are doing very well

    3:00 Why the housing market hasn’t crashed just yet

    5:56 The ONE ingredient one MUST have for a housing crash and profiles of a Crash bro

    8:21 Don’t be lazy; study more than one recession

    10:16 Very low inventory plus unemployment and it’s insurance

    15:45 Median monthly mortgage payment & number of mortgages by interest rate and foreclosure timelines

    19:39 Altos Research inventory numbers

    23:38 Drop in activity- not north of 6M homes for a decade

    25:58 The FED looks like it’s forcing a recession

    32:43 A crystal ball on rate cuts and book recommendation

    35:49 Jobs growth and some thoughts on the future of the economy

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  • Jason joins Robert Helms and Russell Gray of The Real Estate Guys as they discuss the investment opportunities in single family housing in the real estate market, highlighting its flexibility, universality, and government backing. Jason suggested that investors should follow the US government’s business plan, and emphasized the resilience of the real estate market despite economic challenges. The group also talks about the advantages of negotiating the price and financing of properties, and discussed the importance of understanding the full range of benefits that come with real estate investment. Towards the end, they announced the merger with The Real Estate Guys of a new initiative called “The Collective Inner Circle”, a mastermind group associated with Jason, Ken McElroy, and George Gammon. Jason concludes that investors invest in income property for yield, not appreciation.

    #RealEstate #Investing #JasonHartman #SingleFamilyHomes #Financing #HousingAffordability #Inflation #Treasury #LeveragedBuyouts #AssetClass #InvestmentStrategy #InterestRates #PositiveCashFlow

    Key Takeaways:

    0:46 A bit of Jason’s background

    3:27 Why Single Family Homes

    6:55 It’s all in the numbers and a huge blindspot

    14:06 Housing affordability

    16:18 Treasuries versus income property

    20:46 The Real Estate Guys Joining forces with The Collective Inner Circle

    22:41 Invest for yield- not appreciation

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  • Jason welcomes back to the show Joseph Brown of Heresy financial as they discuss the global conflicts, the emotional detachment of Americans from these events, and the potential dangers of policymakers’ decisions. They highlighted the role of profit in perpetuating war and concluded with a cautionary note about the potential for ongoing conflict if war remains profitable. They also discussed the philosophy of ‘packaged commodities’ investment, arguing that investing in real estate with subsidized financing and tax benefits can be more profitable than investing in commodities directly.

    They noted the potential for increased capital flow and immigration into the US due to economic devastation and war around the world. Additionally, they advised investing in scarce resources, with a preference for those at the end product stage. Joseph expressed his long-standing optimism on residential real estate and predicted that prices would continue to rise. Jason emphasized the need to consider the housing market in a global context, noting that American real estate remains relatively affordable compared to many other countries. They concluded that the key factor in the housing market is the balance between the number of people needing housing and the number of available places to live.

    #RealEstateInvestment #GlobalInstability #RealEstateMarket #Inflation #CapitalFlight #USRealEstate #WealthPreservation”

    Key Takeaways:

    0:47 Extreme profits in a world in chaos

    5:11 Pushing the prices of resources higher

    8:34 Packaged commodities investing and wealth creation and destruction

    12:00 Action steps and the great American real estate market

    16:39 Bullish on residential real estate with data to prove it

    21:55 Chart on mortgage currently on property

    24:16 Chart: Housing production, units available vs. population

    26:28 The 6 year millennial lag and shadow demand

    29:31 Stepping into the housing market vs staying out of it

    33:46 The Reverse Repo Facility

    38:35 The inverted yield curve and the housing market

    41:20 The jobs market and the gig economy

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  • Jason welcomes rental housing economist Jay Parsons for part 1 of today’s podcast. Jay serves as Senior Vice President, Chief Economist for RealPage, leading the Economist and Industry Principal teams to provide deep insights on market trends and consumer behaviors. He is a frequent author and speaker on topics affecting multifamily apartments and single-family rentals, including rental housing investment and asset management strategy, rental housing policy issues, risk mitigation and property management.

    Jay has been cited in The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, The Financial Times, The Economist, and The New York Times, and he has appeared on CNBC and BloombergTV. His commentaries have been published by Barron’s, the Pension Real Estate Association, the Mortgage Bankers Association, the National Apartment Association, American Banker and GlobeSt.

    Jason and Jay discuss the current state and future of rental housing. He highlights the roller coaster nature of the rental market, with a slowdown during the COVID-19 pandemic followed by a surge in demand in 2021. Rent growth has been strong, although it has moderated compared to the previous years. The rental market’s performance varies by geography, with some areas experiencing a slowdown while others remain strong.

    Jay also discusses the influx of new multi-family inventory in the market, which reached a 50-year high due to strong demand and construction activity. While there may be short-term imbalances between supply and demand, Jay emphasizes the long-term need for more housing supply. He believes that the rental market, including both single-family rentals and multi-family apartments, will continue to experience strong demand due to demographic factors. Millennials and Generation Z are entering the market, and the housing market will benefit from their demand for rental properties.

    However, Jay acknowledges the challenge of providing affordable and workforce housing. Most new construction caters to higher-income households, and building affordable housing is easier said than done. The cost of land, labor, and materials, as well as regulatory restrictions, pose significant obstacles to affordable housing development. Nimbyism (Not In My Backyard) attitudes and opposition from neighbors and local governments further complicate the issue. Jay emphasizes the need to bridge the gap between ideals and practical implementation to address the shortage of affordable housing effectively.

    Key Takeaways:

    0:47 Welcome Jay Parsons; rental rates are closer to normal

    2:28 It’s all dependent on geography

    5:34 Demographics, household formation age and the demand tailwinds

    7:35 Building affordable workforce housing

    11:28 So many requirements to build cheap new houses which brings the cost way up

    12:48 A little hope from Florida

    14:23 Moving up or down the socioeconomic ladder

    17:00 The rent to income ratio, tracking apples & oranges

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    Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
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  • Today, Jason is joined by Rick Sharga of ATTOM Data Solutions, licensor of the nation’s most comprehensive foreclosure data and parent company to RealtyTrac (www.realtytrac.com), a foreclosure listings and search portal.

    Is there a looming housing crisis? Not according to the data! Listen in and get the facts minus the misinformation and hype from the YouTube click bait sensationalist ‘chicken littles’!

    Know the facts and data that will serve as an indicator of trends in the single-family housing investment space across different markets.

    Note: This interview was done last December 2022. Rick is now with https://cjpatrick.com/

    Quotables:

    “93% of the people in foreclosure have positive equity.” – Jason Hartman

    “Our data shows that about 6% of homeowners nationally are underwater on their loans. There’s half a percent of homeowners who are in foreclosure.” Rick Sharga

    Mentioned:

    Altos Research

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  • Today Jason welcomes the ‘mad scientist of multifamily’ Neal Bawa of Grocapitus investments. They talk about how demography affects real estate, where the housing market is and where it might be headed and the factors affecting your investments. Neal is a technologist who is universally known in the real estate circles as the Mad Scientist of Multifamily. Besides being one of the most in-demand speakers in commercial real estate, Neal is a data guru, a process freak, and an outsourcing expert.

    Neal treats his $1+ billion-dollar multifamily portfolio as an ongoing experiment in efficiency and optimization. The Mad Scientist lives by two mantras. His first mantra is that: We can only manage what we can measure. His second mantra is that: Data beats gut feel by a million miles. These mantras and a dozen other disruptive beliefs drive profit for his 800+ investors.

    Mentioned:

    David Graeber, Debt: The First 5,000 Years

    Ivy Zelman

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    http://JasonHartman.com/Protect

    Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals

    Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
    https://JasonHartman.com/Ron

    Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
    https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

  • Jason Hartman is getting close to his 2000th show and is thinking of ways to make it unique.

    He invites his friend Julia on the show to discuss tax sale investing, which is a form of direct real estate investing where one maintains control. He explains that direct investing can be more profitable, but requires more responsibility. He recommends utilizing the support network and resources available on JasonHartman.com to make the process easier.

    Jason also talks about the fear felt by half of Americans regarding their bank holdings being at risk and shares an article by Jan Swanson which explains how the inventory woes are pushing home prices up. He then shares two insights from an upcoming interview with Rick Charga, that show how different areas of the US are being affected. The high end, cyclical markets such as San Francisco, San Jose, and Seattle are suffering major price declines, while Florida markets such as Orlando and Miami are experiencing tremendous growth.

    And make sure to join our mailing list to get our amazing offers. Just go to https://www.jasonhartman.com/contact/ today!

    Jason then talks to Julia Spencer about tax sale investing. Julia explains that it involves buying properties for pennies on the dollar for outstanding taxes. The taxes become unpaid when people default on them, and as a result, their properties are auctioned off. She believes that this is a great investment opportunity, as it allows people to purchase properties at a low cost. Julia also notes that there are many different nuances to tax sale investing, so it’s important to be aware of them.

    Contact Julia today at https://www.juliamspencer.com/

    Key Takeaways:

    Jason’s editorial

    1:31 Jason’s Commandment #3 in Investing

    4:18 Half of Americans fear for their bank holdings

    6:08 Inventory woes help boost home prices in March

    7:00 Map: Change in home prices from January 2022 to January 2023

    11:34 Housing Affordability Index and the dogs that don’t bark

    17:45 Join our mailing list to receive our amazing offers!

    Julia Spencer interview

    19:17 What is “tax sale investing”

    20:36 3 main types of of vehicles under which to purchase properties

    25:15 Beware: misleading infomercials

    27:11 Two elements of Liens

    31:56 Tax liens certificates

    Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN
    Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI
    Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/
    Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/

    Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/

    Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund

    CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning:
    http://JasonHartman.com/Protect

    Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals

    Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
    https://JasonHartman.com/Ron

    Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
    https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

  • Today, Jason talks about how the powers that be and how we as investors could benefit from the fear of the attack on the US dollar as the reserved currency of the world through his patented Inflation Induced Debt Destruction and seize the tremendous opportunities available in the housing market!

    You are also invited to join https://www.EmpoweredInvestorPro.com/, it’s Mentoring Program and social network where they do a deep dive into single-family home investing. Jason also talks about asset protection and estate planning. To find out more go to https://JasonHartman.com/Protect today!

    Jason also finishes his talk with Tobias Peter, Director of research at the American Enterprise Institute’s Housing Center in which they discuss the FHA Mortgage Insurance Premium, the government’s complicit role in today’s housing shortage and much more.

    Key Takeaways:

    Jason’s editorial

    1:00 Witnessing the decline of civilization

    1:55 American influence and benefitting from Inflation Induced Debt Destruction

    5:37 Tremendous opportunities for investors right now are fantastic

    6:33 “Financial innovations:” Fractional investing and NFTs

    11:17 Join the https://www.EmpoweredInvestorPro.com/, it’s Mentoring Program and social network

    14:16 Asset protection and estate planning- Corp or LLC; Trust or FLP Go to https://JasonHartman.com/Protect

    14:50 Multi-billion dollar agent commission case

    Tobias Peter interview

    18:57 Matt Taibbi and The Great Bubble Machine

    23:19 FHA Mortgage Insurance Premium (MIP) cut will expose taxpayers to increased default risk

    24:12 How do we increase housing supply nationwide

    30:44 Housing shortage is closer to 22 million homes

    35:19 The federal government should get out of the way

    Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN
    Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI
    Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/
    Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/

    Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/

    Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund

    CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning:
    http://JasonHartman.com/Protect

    Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals

    Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
    https://JasonHartman.com/Ron

    Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
    https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

  • For all who joined the 100% Free Financing Webinar, thank you! And for those interested in the Empowered Mentoring program, reach out to us today! Next webinar is coming soon!

    Today Jason has a fascinating conversation with Tobias Peter, a research fellow at the American Enterprise Institute Housing Center. Jason discovers that the housing shortage could be worse. Plus, Tobias talks about the one solution to the country’s shortage problem- the federal government’s non-participation in the housing sector. Because all throughout history of the government’s involvement, it has done so towards unintended negative consequences.

    Key Takeaways:

    Jason’s editorial

    0:45 Welcome Tobias Peter

    1:22 “How to lie with statistics” – US existing home sales

    4:13 Sales volume: US existing home sales

    4:51 Same chart, different starting point

    5:39 One million starting point

    7:46 100% Zero down financing webinar replay is coming soon and join our Empowered Mentoring program

    Tobias Peter interview

    8:40 AEI Housing Market Indicators (HMI) and Purchase activity outlook given headwinds

    9:36 YOY Home Price Appreciation (HPA)

    11:40 YOY Home Price Appreciation (HPA) by Metro (60 largest)

    13:58 Geography is less meaningful than it’s ever been in human history

    16:15 HPA: December 2023 and 2024 projections

    17:56 The problem with the Case-Schiller Index

    20:01 Housing inventory and month’s supply- we are far from a housing crash

    22:43 A positive sign- from California

    25:30 The infamous Coastal Commission in California

    27:48 A quarter century of mortgage risk

    28:31 FHA loans- setting minorities up for failure

    30:41 We have a better alternative

    Find Tobias at https://www.aei.org/centers/housing-center/

    Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN
    Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI
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    Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/

    Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/

    Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund

    CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning:
    http://JasonHartman.com/Protect

    Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals

    Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
    https://JasonHartman.com/Ron

    Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
    https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

  • Today Jason welcomes Oren Klaff. Oren is one of the world’s leading experts on sales, raising capital and negotiation.

    When it comes to delivering a pitch, Oren Klaff has unparalleled credentials. Over the past 15 years, he has used his one of a kind method to raise more than $1 billion.

    As an investor, his portfolio of highly-valued and rapidly scaling companies are evidence that Oren’s methods can be implemented in any business where dealmaking is important to growth.

    Pitch Anything

    An Innovative Method for Presenting, Persuading, and Winning the Deal

    Whether you’re selling ideas to investors, pitching a client for new business, or even negotiating for a higher salary, Pitch Anything will transform the way you position your ideas.

    Creating and presenting a great pitch isn’t an art—it’s a simple science. Applying the latest findings in the field of neuroeconomics, while sharing eye-opening stories of his method in action, learn how the brain makes decisions and responds to pitches. With this information, you’ll remain in complete control of every stage of the pitch process.

    Flip the Script

    Getting People to Think Your Idea is Their Idea
    If there’s one lesson Oren Klaff has learned over decades of pitching, presenting, and closing long-shot, high-stakes deals, it’s that people are sick of being marketed and sold to. Most of all, they hate being told what to think. The more you push them, the more they resist.

    What people love, however, is coming up with a great idea on their own, even if it’s the idea you were guiding them to have all along. Often, the only way to get someone to sign is to make them feel like they’re smarter than you.

    Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN
    Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI
    Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/
    Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/

    Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/

    Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund

    CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning:
    http://JasonHartman.com/Protect

    Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals

    Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
    https://JasonHartman.com/Ron

    Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
    https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

  • Alf is Italian but is coming today from the Netherlands. He and Jason talk about some of the factors that contributed to the collapse of the Silicon Valley Bank, the largest bank failure since the 2008 financial crisis. They discuss the moral hazard involved, mismanaged portfolios and the lack of proper risk management- factors that culminated on the banks demise, making investors question whether this will spark a broader banking meltdown.

    Key Takeaways:

    Jason’s editorial

    1:21 Hope you enjoyed last episode

    2:03 Listen to Jason’s “10 commandments of successful investing”: Thou shalt maintain control!

    4:38 Housing inventory keeps falling- where’s the crash?

    7:10 Almost 25% of mortgages are 3% or lower

    8:19 On to our guest with a deep dive into the current banking crisis

    Alfonso Peccatiello interview

    9:14 Alf, coming from the Netherlands

    10:03 3 Bank collapses; a summary of what really happened

    13:42 US Banks loan-to-deposit ratios

    16:06 Moral Hazard and a mismanaged portfolio

    19:16 Big banks hedge interest rate risks- NOT SVB

    22:28 Lax regulatory and accounting laws in the US for small banks

    23:34 Who benefited from the collapse

    24:36 Securities portfolio mix as of December 31, 2022; distinguishing between small and highly regulated banks

    29:29 SVB ‘woke’ programs and the lack of proper risk management

    30:39 Bank failures 2001 to 2023; are more bank collapses coming

    31:56 At risk: the real estate market; unaffordable housing leads to more renters

    34:50 Compared to what

    37:43 The booming labor market

    39:02 Credibility & central banks; Blackstone & KKR, Jerome Powell & Paul Volcker

    44:25 There is no distressed home owner

    48:10 Institutional investors- what their capital stack or debt structure is like

    49:32 Step up your macro game https://www.themacrocompass.com

    Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN
    Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI
    Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/
    Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/

    Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/

    Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund

    CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning:
    http://JasonHartman.com/Protect

    Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals

    Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
    https://JasonHartman.com/Ron

    Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
    https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

  • Listen in as Jason explains the debacle that is the Silicon Valley Bank collapse, the ripple effects it's having in the banking community, the poison pill the FED has placed in the housing market and how it has painted itself in a corner. He also talks about what the government can do, how you can use his patented Inflation Induced Debt Destruction strategy to come out on top in these uncertain times and how you can protect your assets. Just go to https://www.jasonhartman.com/Protect for more details.

    Key Takeaways:

    1:18 Silicon Valley Bank and Bank Run: Margin Call

    2:47 Catch the Ron Paul FlashBack Friday episode and thanks to all who attended the Alabama Property Tour

    3:11 Fear of Contagion and a taxpayer funded bailout; the tech dot com bubble

    7:09 Children in adult bodies and a history of manias

    8:28 The SVB crisis explained

    10:37 Runaway inflation or banking system collapse, memes

    12:45 Signature bank and Silvergate; SVB holdings compared to other banks

    20:32 Alf from Twitter

    21:25 US bank loan-to-deposit ratios

    22:55 While SVB collapsed, top executive pushed "woke" programs

    27:16 Memes and more memes; CNBC's Jim Cramer urged viewers to buy shares of SVB last month

    30:41 Bank failures 2001 to 2023

    32:17 SVB financial deposits, quarterly net change

    33:35 SVB's insured versus uninsured deposits

    34:08 Biggest bank failures and the FDIC

    35:01 FREE class: CYA protect your assets, save taxes and estate planning

    36:38 The decision to bail out SVB

    38:13 What can we do; the 2 year treasury yield and Inflation Induced Debt Destruction

    Mentioned:

    https://www.jasonhartman.com/Protect

    Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN
    Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI
    Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/
    Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/

    Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/

    Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund

    CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning:
    http://JasonHartman.com/Protect

    Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals

    Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
    https://JasonHartman.com/Ron

    Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
    https://www.PandemicInvesting.com