Avsnitt

  • The British literary quarterly Granta has published a new issue dedicated to Chinese writers, featuring familiar mainstays of contemporary literature and some fresh new voices. This week on Sinica, I chatted with Thomas Meaney, editor of Granta, about what's happening in the literary scene in China today and how this fantastically interesting issue came together. Tom is wonderfully thoughtful and articulate, and we really get into some of the individual stories and the larger trends they may or may not represent.

    3:17 – Tom’s familiarity with Chinese literature and China

    4:40 – Why Granta dedicated this issue to Chinese literature, how the issue came together, and how Granta found its translators 

    10:54 – Balancing political considerations with artistic merits in curating this issue 

    17:20 – The Chinese literary obsession with losers and the role of losers in Xiao Hai’s “Adrift in the South”

    25:11 – The so-called Dongbei Renaissance, and Wu Qi’s interview and why he pushes back on the idea of the Dongbei Renaissance genre 

    33:02 – Granta staff favorites 

    35:18 – The phenomenon of gratuitous name-dropping and borrowing stylistically from other writers 

    38:05 – The issue’s three photo essays by Feng Li, Li Jie and Zhan Jungang, and Haohui Liu 

    44:36 – Yu Hua’s “Tomorrow I’ll Get Past It”

    50:09 – Mo Yan’s “The Leftie Sickle” 

    53:10 – Yan Lianke’s “Black Pig Hair, White Pig Hair” 

    57:56 – The "filmability" of some of the short stories and the connection between the film world and literary writers in China 

    1:00:08 – Where you can get Granta and pick up this issue

    Recommendations:

    Tom: The Egalitarian Moment: Asia and Africa, 1950-1980 by Anthony Low, a comparative history of land reform 

    Kaiser: The ever-expanding library of guitarless backing tracks on YouTube to play along to

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  • This week on Sinica in a show taped live at China Crossroads, Shanghai's premier event series, I'm joined by my good friend Cameron Johnson, who is on the governing board of the American Chamber of Commerce in Shanghai, specializes professionally in supply chains in China, and teaches at NYU Shanghai.

    4:20 – What makes up a supply chain ecosystem, and why it is difficult to build out 

    8:39 – A brief history of decoupling, the warning signs, and whether it matters “who shot first” 

    16:43 – Personal protective equipment (PPE) manufacturing in America, the lessons we (should have) learned, and Washington’s response

    25:13 – EVs and batteries: manufacturing in America, and what it looks like on the ground in China 

    30:46 – The semiconductor industry 

    34:24 – “China Week” in Congress, and the different responses of GOP versus Democratic congressmen 

    38:36 – De-risking as globalization 2.0

    42:21 – Cameron’s predictions on the effects of the [upcoming] U.S. elections 

    44:10 – Inside Chinese factories 

    47:44 – American shortfalls in manufacturing 

    50:21 – The importance of seeing China’s competitive markets and ecosystem clusters for oneself 

    53:09 – Cameron’s advice for the next U.S. administration 

    Recommendations: 

    Cameron: Gōngyìng liàn gōngfáng zhàn 《供应链攻防战》 (Supply Chain Offensive and Defense War) by Lin Xueping; No Trade is Free: Changing Course, Taking on China, and Helping America’s Workers by Robert Lighthizer 

    Kaiser: The Praise of Folly by Desiderius Erasmus 

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  • This week, in a show taped in Beijing at the Center for International Security and Strategy at Tsinghua University, I speak with Professor Da Wei about a new public opinion poll on China's perception of international security and review its important findings. We also discuss Chinese views on the Russo-Ukrainian War and the upcoming U.S. presidential election.

    2:11 – Da Wei’s new podcast 

    4:05 – CISS’s “Public Opinion Poll: Chinese Outlook on International Security 2024”

    7:46 – The poll’s findings on pessimism about global security and the global influence of the U.S. and China

    11:56 – China’s growing national confidence and growing pessimism about the U.S.-China relationship 

    18:26 – Paradoxical poll findings: proactive foreign policy stance vs. prioritizing domestic affairs, and involvement in global scientific cooperation vs. withdrawing in other areas of international agreement 

    24:30 – Why older respondents tended to be more pessimistic about China’s international security situation 

    25:58 – Understanding negative attitude toward the United States and the effectiveness of diplomacy 

    30:17 – The belief that the U.S. goal is containment of China’s development and the shift in view of America from a values-based country to a power-based country 

    36:12 – Chinese viewpoints on the Russo-Ukrainian war 

    39:22 – Da Wei’s travels in the U.S. and the changes he has perceived 

    45:04 – The U.S. agenda to dissuade China from deepening its involvement with Russia 

    49:02 – How Chinese views on the upcoming U.S. election have changed since Kamala Harris’ nomination

    Recommendations:

    Da Wei: Chen Jian’s Zhou Enlai: A Life; for Chinese to travel to the U.S. more

    Kaiser: Chen Jian and Odd Arne Westad’s The Great Transformation: China’s Road from Revolution to Reform; for Americans to travel to China (and Beijing) 

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  • This week on Sinica, in a show recorded in Beijing, I speak with Liu Yang and Jiang Jiang, the authors of two excellent newsletters — The Beijing Channel and Ginger River Review, respectively — and two of the guys behind the YouTube show "Got China." They're making a great effort to bridge Chinese journalism with Anglophone reporting on China with perspectives and insights from within the Chinese state media system.

    4:24 – How Jiang Jiang and Liu Yang became journalists 

    11:42 – How Liu Yang and Jiang Jiang decided to launch their newsletters, and the advantages of being tǐzhì nèi 体制内

    20:29 – Jiang Jiang and Liu Yang’s Got China show 

    25:46 – Liu Yang’s and Jiang Jiang’s empathy for American perspectives 

    29:53 – The negative American discourse on the Chinese economy and “China collapse theory” 

    37:21 The recent press conferences on monetary and policies, and the response in the realty market in Beijing 

    46:17 What’s next for Got China 

    Recommendations:

    Liu Yang: Modern Chinese Government and Politics 《当代中国政府与政治?》, a Chinese-language textbook

    Jiang Jiang: The Chinese podcast Bié de diànbō 别的电波; and Shan Weijian’s Out of the Gobi: My Story of China and America

    Kaiser: The album The Last Will and Testament by Swedish metal band Opeth; and the Provincial Cuisine Club in Beijing, for trying food from different parts of China

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  • This week on Sinica, in a show recorded at Syracuse University on September 30, I chat with my old pal Bryce Whitwam about the remarkable rise of live-streaming e-commerce — and how it's already making its way to the U.S.

    4:28 – Why Bryce chose to leave Shanghai and pursue a doctorate in the States

    8:08 – How big livestream e-commerce has gotten and its predicted trajectory 

    9:37 – E-commerce livestreaming and the pursuit of celebrity 

    14:08 – The different types of livestream commerce

    17:30 – Xiaohongshu 

    20:45 – Why Taobao has lost its dominance 

    22:07 – The value-add of an influencer’s pitch 

    27:00 – The demographics of Chinese livestream e-commerce consumers 

    29:09 – Insights from Bryce’s 25 interviews

    36:36 – Buying food on livestream e-commerce and how agribusinesses are getting involved in the trend 

    41:21 – Livestream commerce in the United States

    44:34 – How livestream e-commerce has changed the retail experience in China 

    46:43 – Potential future disruptions in the industry

    Recommendations:

    Bryce: Jeffree Star on TikTok as an American livestream commerce example and Omar Nok’s “Egypt to Japan Without Flying” TikTok stream 

    Kaiser: The album True by Jon Anderson and The Band Geeks 

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  • This week, a show taped live at Syracuse University on September 30 with Associate Professor Dimitar Gueorguiev, author of the excellent Retrofitting Leninism: Participation Without Democracy in China. We discuss his book, his recent paper exploring hawkishness in Chinese public opinion, and his thoughts about the upcoming U.S. presidential election.

    1:59 Syracuse University’s MAX 132 class ("the globalization class")

    4:10 Dimitar’s background and how he became interested in China 

    7:44 How the genre of authoritarian resilience took off 

    14:26 China’s understanding of democracy (whole-process democracy)

    17:40 Features of Leninism that have allowed the Chinese Communist Party to survive

    21:21 Why China in the 1980s and '90s admired Singaporea's authoritarian PAP 

    23:37 The idea of the mass line

    27:16 China’s sentiment analysis through technology, and using bottom-up information as performance evaluation 

    34:03 The COVID-19 pandemic and the confirmation bias of the regime-type explanation

    37:37 The National People’s Congress and the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC)

    40:14 Dimitar’s research on hawkishness in China: how he got the data, what drives Chinese hawkishness, and the national security vs. economic lens 

    51:08 Why those who are dissatisfied with the government lean more hawkish and those who are satisfied with the government lean more dovish 

    56:30 The upcoming U.S. election: how things may play out under the two different administrations, and understanding Chinese preferences 

    Recommendations:

    Dimitar: The TV series The Expanse (2015-2022)

    Kaiser: Anthea Roberts’ Six Faces of Globalization: Who Wins, Who Loses, and Why It Matters; and the documentary Wise Guy: David Chase and The Sopranos (2024)

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  • This week on the Sinica Podcast, I chat with my dear friend David Moser, a longtime resident of Beijing, formerly an occasional co-host of Sinica and associate professor at Beijing Capital Normal University. We have a long history of exploring the underlying issues in our approach to China, and this week, we unpack some of those, focusing on the role of outsiders in Chinese society and their role in "changing China," drawing on David's response to an essay I recently published.

    3:46 —David’s thoughts on Kaiser’s essay (“Priority Pluralism: Rethinking Universal Values in U.S.-China Relations”)

    5:18 —How David thinks about going on state media and the reasons he does so

    10:37 —How David’s engagement with state media has changed over time 

    15:04 —Conscience, moral intuition, drawing lines, and whataboutism 

    26:35 —The outsider urge to change China: the differences between the U.S. and Chinese governments and COVID as a test of the two systems; the role of American policy in working toward positive change and the importance of continuing engagement; and so-called Enlightenment values and priority pluralism 

    50:46 —The debate over cultural differences

    57:09 —China’s notion of whole-process democracy versus American democracy  

    1:05:55 — “Give them time:” Anticipating when we will see big changes in China’s political culture 

    Recommendations:

    David: Richard Nisbett’s The Geography of Thought; and his own article, “A Fearful Asymmetry: COVID-19 and America’s Information Deficit with China”

    Kaiser: The “Open Database for China Studies Resource Guide” published by ACLS 

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  • This week on Sinica, I chat with Jessica Chen Weiss, until recently at Cornell University but now the David M. Lampton Professor of China Studies at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, SAIS, in Washington D.C. Jessica, to those of you familiar with her work, has been at the forefront of the fight for a less strident, diplomacy-first approach to China, balancing threats with assurances to find a modus vivendi with China. She has challenged prevailing notions about China's intentions, and has called for the U.S. to advance an affirmative vision of how it wants to live in the world with China. We focus in this conversation about a recent piece in Foreign Affairs in which she challenges both the solidity and the logic of the "bipartisan consensus" on China, and holds out hope that a next administration might approach the relationship differently.

    3:45 – How Jessica has settled into D.C.; her professorial namesake; and how she has become a leading voice for a less confrontational approach to China

    9:30 – Where Jessica sees diverging views on China in the Republican and Democratic Parties 

    12:41 – What a more durable basis for coexistence should look like

    14:46 – Credible deterrence and strategic ambiguity in the context of Taiwan 

    16:03 – Acknowledgements to limits on American power and the importance of being realistic 

    18:09 – Assurances on Taiwan and what threatens their credibility 

    21:13 – The question of engagement and the deterrent effect of economic integration

    25:30 – How the U.S. can combat legitimate national security threats from China without undermining its own values, and the importance of not treating the Chinese in diaspora as a fifth column 

    31:31 – Electoral politics: the importance of welcoming and inclusive policies and creating space for debate and discernment

    35:07 – The importance of testing our assumptions 

    38:30 – What another Trump presidency might look like 

    40:30 – How a Harris administration might differ from the Biden administration

    44:13 – The U.S. and China-Russia relations

    Recommendations:

    Jessica: Valarie Kaur’s Sage Warrior: Wake to Oneness, Practice Pleasure, Choose Courage, Become Victory 

    Kaiser: BeaGo, an AI-powered search tool (download from your app store!)

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  • This week I continue my conversations with some of the outstanding Schwarzman Scholars who presented at the Capstone Showcase in late June. In this episode, I speak with Nainika Sudheendra about the problem of space debris and what can be done to reduce the creation of more of it or even begin removal of debris before it makes the launching of new satellites more costly or even impossible.

    2:34 Nainika’s background and interest in the Schwarzman program

    5:33 Why Nainika focused on space debris 

    7:23 Nainika’s prior knowledge about the Chinese space program and what she learned through the Schwarzman program

    10:30 How space debris is measured, the Kessler syndrome, and the hazards that space debris poses 

    14:33 The obstacles Nainika encountered in her research 

    16:35 How political leaders in China and the U.S. are thinking about the space debris problem

    20:02 How debris mitigation might [ought to?] be incentivized, who is working on the problem now, and the role of private insurers 

    24:03 The Wolf Amendment and Chinese private sector space companies 

    27:22 Technologies for mitigating and remediating debris 

    31:00 Lessons from another tragedy of the commons (the Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer), and how the EU could take a leading role 

    34:59 The importance of data standardization and opportunities to negotiate fair use and safety precautions

    38:17  How redundancy prevents public perception — the difficulty in going from “outage” to “outrage” 

    40:27 What Nainika has been doing since finishing at Schwarzman 

    Recommendations:

    Nainika: From Streets to Stalls: The History and Evolution of Hawking and Hawker Centres in Singapore by Ryan Kueh (another Schwarzman alum) 

    Kaiser: Journalist Andrew Jones on Twitter; the South Indian restaurant Viks Chaat in Berkeley, California 

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  • I thought Sinica listeners might be interested in listening to an audio narration of my latest essay. I hope you enjoy and that it gives you some food for thought! If you prefer to read, you can find the essay — free for everyone this week — right here.

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  • The Chinese game studio Game Science has a hit on its hands! The game Black Myth: Wukong, an action role-playing game (ARPG) based on the Monkey King from Journey to the West, has sold extraordinarily well in China and is breaking new ground in the U.S. market as well. This week, I speak with Rui Ma, who runs Tech Buzz China and is one of the most highly-regarded China tech commentators in the U.S., and with Robert Wynne, an industry veteran with many years in China currently serving as COO of a new game start-up that's still under wraps. They share their insights into the strengths and weaknesses of Black Myth: Wukong and the future of Chinese games.

    6:44 – The scale of the phenomenon of Black Myth: Wukong 

    12:01 – Rui and Rob’s thoughts about the game (so far)

    17:23 – What Chinese players think of the game, and the difficulty in understanding its esoteric characters for Western players 

    24:23 – The appeal of mobile games versus console games in China 

    27:30 – The difficulty of attracting investment [or “How Game Science attracted investment”]

    31:06 – Rob’s criticism of the game’s go-to-market strategy and its lost opportunities 

    35:46 – The party-state's response so far, and the politics surrounding the game

    40:57 – Feng Ji, the founding of Game Science, and his criticisms of the gaming industry 

    46:01 – AAA Chinese games to look forward to

    49:29 – The impressive success stats of Black Myth: Wukong

    Recommendations:

    Rui: Neil deGrasse Tyson’s Astrophysics for People in a Hurry

    Rob: The Chinese TV series Escape from Trilateral Slopes (Biān shuǐ wǎngshì 边水往事) (2024)

    Kaiser: Steve Stewart-Williams, The Ape that Understood the Universe: How the Mind and Culture Evolve

    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

  • This week on Sinica, I chat with Olivia Fu, who this spring completed her year at Schwarzman College and wrote her Capstone project — a research paper that is required of all Schwarzman Scholars — on the rise and fall of the Beijing hip-hop scene. We explore some of the parallels to Beijing's rock scene, and how many of the same factors that stifled rock in Beijing ultimately led to Beijing's relative decline as a hip-hop city.

    3:16 – Olivia’s background and connection to China, and what drew her to the Schwarzman Program and studying hip-hop

    6:13 – Olivia’s Schwarzman mentor, Paul Pickowicz 

    7:47 – How Olivia dealt with censorship in her Capstone project 

    10:24 – The parallels and differences between the hip-hop and rock scenes in China

    12:27 – The dakou CDs and the origins of the hip-hop scene in China 

    17:03 – The influences of Japanese and Korean rap and hip-hop and Black American culture

    18:30 – The importance of studying Beijing hip-hop 

    23:05 – The spirit of Beijing and societal commentary in Beijing hip-hop 

    27:38 – The phenomenon of Rap of China 

    29:50 – The divergence of PG One and GAI, and the regulatory influence of the State Administration on Press, Publication, Radio, Film and Television

    35:13 – Sinifying hip-hop 

    37:21 – What the burgeoning hip-hop scene in China was like in the early 2000s

    40:10 – Critiques of the Beijing dialect in rap and the Beijing rap style 

    45:16 – Iron Mic rap battles and Shanghai, and Chinese hip-hop’s critique of the educational system 

    48:34 – Why Beijing rap declined 

    59:09 – What’s next for Olivia 

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  • Hey folks! I took some time off to drive the kids to college and then flew to California to celebrate my brother John’s birthday. The upshot is there’s no interview this week, so in place of that, here’s my essay from this week. Hope you enjoy it. If all goes as planned, I’m back next week with regular interview for Sinica!

    You can find the text of the essay at sinicapodcast.com.

    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

  • I was looking for a good episode to pull from the archive to run this week as I'll be traveling and I asked my good friend Deb Seligsohn for a recommendation. She went immediately to this one, and by God if it's not an oldie-but-goodie. This is from December 2015 and features Jeremy Goldkorn — I miss him dearly! — and Terry Townshend, an absolute institution in China's birding community.

    I'll likely have to run another re-run next week, and I welcome your suggestions!

    All best,

    Kaiser

    Recommendations and Links:

    Birding Beijing

    Action for Swifts

    British Trust for Ornithology

    Jonathan Franzen, Purity: A Novel

    Cement and Pig Consumption Reveal China's Huge Changes

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  • Here's a little bonus ep for you ahead of tomorrow's show, which will be a re-run of a really fun one from about 10 years ago! I'm driving the rest of this week to the Midwest to drop my kids off at their respective universities, and I've been thinking a lot about the education systems in China and the U.S. So here's my essay for this week.

    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

  • This week on Sinica, Paul Triolo rejoins the show for a deep, deep dive into China's response to American export controls on advanced semiconductors and related technologies. How much hurt has the policy put on Chinese firms — and how far along is China in finding its way toward technological autonomy? Kevin Xu, author of the fantastic "Interconnected" newsletter, joins to talk about some of the big ideas he's written about in recent months and to play co-host as we grill Paul on China's efforts to get out from under American controls.

    9:10 – The downplaying of generative AI in the Third Plenum’s decision document 

    18:25 – Why the Middle East is an appealing and important region for major AI players 

    26:20 – Why chip wars have evolved into to cloud wars 

    29:36 – How China has fared in trying to achieve its goal of indigenous advanced semiconductor manufacture

    31:50 – Semiconductors: What lies within the “small yard” versus what products are unaffected under U.S. export controls

    35:42 – The quality and reliability caveat to China’s goal of self-sufficiency in semiconductor manufacture 

    38:35 – The success of the Biden administration’s export controls and whether the controls have really put the hurt on anyone 

    46:00 – The Harmony operating system 

    47:47 – The importance of packaging 

    50:45 – Paul explains what he calls “China Semiconductor Industry Policy 3.0” and its predecessors

    57:03 – China’s EUV lithography challenge

    1:03:14 – DUV lithography and multi-patterning, and the importance of collaboration across the ecosystemin the process of making semiconductors at scale 

    1:11:50 – Huawei’s progress so far and remaining major hurdles and bottlenecks 

    1:18:42 – Paul and Kevin’s thoughts on whether the American strategic class will regret its approach to export controls and whether there is an off-ramp 

    Recommendations:

    Paul: Ed Conway’s Material World: The Six Raw Materials That Shape Modern Civilization 

    Kevin: Thurston Clarke’s The Last Campaign: Robert F. Kennedy and 82 Days That Inspired America 

    Kaiser: The House of the Dragon (2022- ) TV series 

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  • This week on Sinica, I'm joined by Eric Olander, host of the outstanding China in Africa Podcast and the indispensable China-Global South Podcast, and creator of the China-Global South Project. Eric's detailed and very current knowledge of China's relations across the developing world is on display in this whirlwind tour that takes us from the troubled waters of the South China Sea to China's diplomatic efforts in the Middle East, on to Subsaharan Africa and how Washington has struggled to create policies that can match what China offers, and to Latin America. He then zooms out and talks about what it all means in aggregate. Don't miss this show!

    Don't forget to subscribe to the newsletter! Go to sinicapodcast.com to sign up! And if you want to support my work and access premium content, please be sure to become a paying subscriber.

    2:39 The situation with the Philippines and the Second Thomas Shoal, and the U.S. Mutual Defense Treaty — the potential challenges in activating it on the U.S. side and President Marcos’ changing standards for invoking it 

    15:50 ASEAN’s difficulty in reaching consensus, and Myanmar as another ASEAN priority  

    18:53 China’s role as convener in brokering a “unity deal” for Palestine

    23:02 The Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) 

    30:20 Why Africa is so hard to fit onto the U.S. foreign policy agenda and the lack of a forward-looking American vision for Africa 

    37:56 Geraud Neema’s disappointment with Washington’s talk about battery metals and critical minerals

    42:22 The pushback from Mexico’s finance minister and Mexico’s concern over the growing number of imports from China

    46:48 The trade surplus number and long-term concerns for China’s exports 

    49:35 Brazilian President Lula hints at willingness to join the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) 

    51:51 How it all fits together, and how China has leveraged the Global South’s frustration over the U.S.-European-led international order 

    Recommendations:

    Eric: Matt Pottinger’s The Boiling Moat: Urgent Steps to Defend Taiwan, and Anne Stevenson-Yang’s Wild Ride: A Short History of the Opening and Closing of the Chinese Economy

    Kaiser: Will Durant’s books from The Story of Civilization, especially The Age of Faith and The Reformation, as well as the audiobook versions read by Stefan Rudnicki 

    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

  • This week, my narration of a longish essay about my recently-concluded four-week trip to Dalian and, more importantly, Beijing — my first time back in the city I called home for so long since the COVID pandemic. If you prefer to read rather than listen, you can find the essay — free for everyone this week — on the Substack. I hope you enjoy this!

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  • This week on Sinica, I'm in Beijing, where I spoke with my dear friend Anthony Tao, an English-language poet and a builder of community in the city where I lived for over 20 years. Anthony recently published a volume of his poetry called We Met in Beijing, and it captures the relationship that so many have with the city wherever they might come from. The episode features readings of some of his — and my — favorite poems.

    3:28 Why Anthony chose poetry as a medium, and the poetry he has read [appreciated?]

    9:13 A discussion of Anthony’s poem, “I Landed in Beijing,” and the feelings Beijing inspires

    19:56 Anthony’s poem, “Self-censorship”

    27:08 Anthony’s journalism in poetic form and processing the trauma of COVID 

    31:38 Living as an “expat” and writing from an expat’s perspective: Anthony’s poem “Dancing like a Laowai 

    40:46 Anthony’s bar — The Golden Weasel — and meeting interesting people in Beijing 

    44:49 The themes of place and nostalgia, Anthony’s poem, “Postcard,” and the last stanza of his title poem, “We Met in Beijing”

    Recommendations:

    Anthony: The poetry of Stephen Dunn; the TV series Lucky Hank (2023) based on Straight Man by Richard Russo; Spittoon, an English-language literary collective in China; and his band, Poetry x Music 

    Kaiser: The many international restaurants of Xiaoyun Lu in Beijing 

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  • I'm trying something different: totally unscripted and very, very lightly edited recordings grabbed on the go where I happen to be. For the inaugural episode, I've got Wang Zichen, the author of the amazing Pekingnology newsletter on Substack, as well as the man behind the Center for China and Globalization's newsletter "The East is Read." Hear Zichen's origin story, his approach to publishing Pekingnology, the skinny on his new Got China show with Liu Yang and Jiang Jiang, as well as his take on what we can expect from the Third Plenum.

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