Avsnitt
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Julian Brigden Co-Founder of MI2 Partners joins Monetary Matters to discuss why the dramatic shift in US trade policy is making non-US investors dump US assets and bring home the profits from a historic bull run in US assets. He also explains why this repatriation of profits coupled with an eventual slowdown in the flow of dollars driven by tariff policy itself spells a weaker dollar and trouble for US financial markets, even if it does result in American reindustrialization. Recorded April 15, 2025.
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Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
01:53 The Whole World is Overweight the US
09:55 Tariffs Slow the Dollar Flow
17:54 Selling US Assets is Prudent for Foreign Investors
26:42 Who Wins in the US Domestic Economy?
29:56 MacroCapture
34:58 Tariffs Have Been a Carpet-bomb Approach
44:06 Tariffs = Stagflation
49:43 Tariff Effects on China and Europe
54:04 Are Risks Greater in the US?
01:00:13 Will Foreign Markets Outperform on US Weakness or Their Strength?
01:04:32 Bond Market Outlook
01:10:24 Gold Outlook
01:12:50 Reading the Tape to Detect Market Participants
01:18:16 Where is the Trump Put?
01:22:21 America’s Liz Truss Moment
01:25:59 Credit Trades and HYG -
Måns Levin, CEO and co-founder of Ridge Capital, joins Other People’s Money, to discuss why they believe the Nordic high yield credit market provides unique opportunities for double-digit returns and insolation from tariff and trade war risks. Levin discusses the exceptional start Ridge Capital has had, both in terms of performance and asset raising, the specific features and composition of the Nordic high yield market that they find most attractive, and the flexibility in strategies required to take full advantage of the opportunities they see.
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#credit #creditmarket #fixedincome #bonds #nordic #sweden #norway #denmark #finland #stocks #economics #economy #stockmarket #investing #hedgefunds #trading #wallstreet #ridgecapital #finance -
Saknas det avsnitt?
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To view the prospectus for the VanEck Merk Gold ETF (OUNZ), please visit: vaneck.com/OUNZProspectus
Learn more: vaneck.com/OUNZJack
Lyn Alden of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy explains the connection between the capital and financial imbalances the U.S. has with the rest of the world and its trade imbalances which are under so much scrutiny by the current U.S. administration. Alden argues that turbulence in markets, particularly U.S. assets, could continue, and warns listeners not to be exposed beyond their risk limits at a juncture that could be a historic time for markets and the global economy. Recorded April 10, 2025.
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Lyn Alden’s book, “Broken Money”: https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Money-Financial-System-Failing/dp/B0CG8985FR
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____
The material must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus. Before investing you
should carefully consider the VanEck Merk Gold ETF’s (“OUNZ” or the “Trust”)
investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses.
An investment in the VanEck Merk Gold ETF (“OUNZ” or the “Trust”) is subject to
significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. OUNZ is not an investment
company registered under the Investment Company Act of 1940 (the “1940 Act”) and
therefore is not subject to the same protections as mutual funds or ETFs registered
under the 1940 Act.
The request for redemption of shares for gold is subject to a number of risks
including but not limited to the potential for the price of gold to decline during
the time between the submission of the request and delivery. Delivery may
take a considerable amount of time depending on your location.
The Sponsor for the Trust is Merk Investments, LLC. The Marketing Agent for
the Trust is Van Eck Securities Corporation.
© Merk Investments LLC
© Van Eck Associates Corporation -
Wayne Himelsein, CIO and founder of Logic Capital Advisors, joins Other People’s Money, to discuss how his hedge fund is built to profit when volatility spikes in moments just like this. Everybody wants to carry crash protection but if implemented improperly the cost of carrying hedges can bleed you dry. Finding innovative ways to solve this problem is what drives Himelsein and Logica forward and in this discussion he discusses their approach to maintaining at the money long volatility exposure without relying on spread trades to fund tail hedges.
This episode is brought to you by Fintool, a financial copilot tailored for institutional investors. Fintool leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to discover financial insights beyond the reach of timely human analysis. From summarizing extensive annual reports to computing numbers and unearthing new insights by comparing years of filings, Fintool equips institutional investors like Janus Henderson, First Manhattan and companies like PWC. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm
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Charles Gasparino, Fox Business Senior Correspondent, give color into the protectionist and moderate factions in the White House, and explains why he thinks that, President Trump is likely to reach a deal with major trading partners. Recorded April 8, 2025.
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Tian Yang, CEO and head of research at Variant Perception, explains his view on a variety of assets on time horizons of tactical, cyclical, and structural duration. Recorded April 7, 2025.
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David Kotok’s book, “The Fed and the Flu: Parsing Pandemic Economic Shocks”:
https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Flu-Parsing-Pandemic-Economic-ebook/dp/B0DCK1ZHJT
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Benn Eifert of QVR Advisors joins Monetary Matters to share his thoughts on tariffs, volatility, and the growth of ETFs with embedded derivatives. Recorded on March 26 (before “Liberation Day” and the market crash).
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Jack Farley & Max Wiethe share their analysis as global financial markets react with shock to Trump’s reciprocal tariffs which are based not on other countries’ tariff or non-tariff trade measures, but on the level of trade deficit itself. Recorded the morning of April 3, 2025.
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Darius Dale of 42Macro joins Jack to explain why he’s been bearish on U.S. stocks and expects the rough sledding to continue. Dale believes stagflationary shock from tariffs and deflationary DOGE forces could cause Treasurys to catch a short-term bid, but long-term he is bearish on bonds. On a longer-term time horizon, Dale thinks Trump fiscal forces could be positive for the economy and markets. Recorded on April 1, 2025.
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Petr Pinkhasov, CIO and founder of Anthem Capital Management, joins Other People’s Money, for a special “Trader Talks” episode where he discusses how he trades incorporating quantitative signals, thematic views, and technical analysis patterns like DeMark indicators. Petr also discusses how he’s been handling the volatile start to 2025 and what forces he is attributing the market’s recent turmoil and rotations.
This episode is brought to you by Fintool, a financial copilot tailored for institutional investors. Fintool leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to discover financial insights beyond the reach of timely human analysis. From summarizing extensive annual reports to computing numbers and unearthing new insights by comparing years of filings, Fintool equips institutional investors like Janus Henderson, First Manhattan and companies like PWC. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm
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This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by VanEck.
Learn more about VanEck Uranium & Nuclear ETF: http://vaneck.com/NLRJack
Brad Setser is an expert on global trade and capital flows, having served as senior advisor to the United States Trade Representative from 2021 to 2022. The Whitney Shepardson senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) joins Monetary Matters to explain why he thinks President Trump’s tariffs are likely to cause a growth shock in the second quarter. Recorded on March 20, 2025
Brad Setser piece on China’s Balance of Payments: https://www.cfr.org/blog/iphone-imf-and-chinas-balance-payments
“The Evolution of Global Trade in 2024”: https://www.cfr.org/blog/evolution-global-trade-2024
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Nicolás Dujovne, CIO and founder of Tenac Asset Management, joins Other People’s Money to discuss his path from Treasury Minister of Argentina and president of the G-20 to hedge fund manager. Despite more experience managing economies than trading them, Dujovne and his partners at Tenac have succeeded in building a 5+ year track record with no down years and an annualized rate of 17.18% net of fees, focusing mostly on sovereign and corporate debt of emerging market countries. In the interview we discuss how global macro feeds portfolio construction, the important factors when analyzing individual emerging markets, and how understanding large international organizations like the IMF is crucial to predicting outcomes in EM.
This episode is brought to you by Fintool, a financial copilot tailored for institutional investors. Fintool leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to discover financial insights beyond the reach of timely human analysis. From summarizing extensive annual reports to computing numbers and unearthing new insights by comparing years of filings, Fintool equips institutional investors like Janus Henderson, First Manhattan and companies like PWC. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm
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Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
00:29 Fintool Front Roll
02:00 Why is LATAM a Macro Hotbed?
04:11 From Minister of the Treasury to Macro Trader
11:36 Capital Raising in LATAM
16:31 Developing & Communicating Your Investment Process
20:53 Fintool Mid Roll
22:01 The Growth of EM Debt Markets
25:56 Dispersion and Portfolio Management
30:50 Corporate/Quasi Sovereign Debt
34:30 The Events That Move Markets in EM
38:22 Data Integrity Issues in EM
39:28 Vol and Investor Expectations
43:14 Global Spotlight on Argentina
44:57 Unique Requirements of Global Investing
48:16 The Roll of the IMF
54:27 Elections and Prediction Markets
56:58 The Roll of US Financial Conditions
01:01:45 Current Outlook for US Trade Policy
01:03:17 Opportunity Right Now
#stocks #economics #economy #recession #bonds #stockmarket #investing #hedgefunds #analyst #Alternatives #Argentina #NicolasDujovne #tenac #emergingmarkets #EMinvesting -
Today's episode is brought to you by Teucrium. Learn more at: https://bit.ly/4gfI0fe
While Chris Whalen of Whalen Global Advisors is a supporter of many of the Trump administration’s policies, he expects they will cause some significant turbulence in credit and economic markets. Chris explains why he thinks FHA Mortgage foreclosures will rise, and shares his views on tariffs, bank stocks, and payment companies. Recorded on March 20, 2025.
Second edition of Chris Whalen’s “Inflated”: https://www.wiley.com/en-us/Inflated%3A+Money%2C+Debt+and+the+American+Dream%2C+2nd+Edition-p-9781394285716
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This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by VanEck.
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Jim Bianco returns to Monetary Matters to break down the March Federal Reserve meeting. He explains why he thinks tariffs are unlikely to cause a recession and share his current asset allocation outlook. Recorded the afternoon of March 19, 2025.
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Kris Sidial, co-CIO of The Ambrus Group, returns to Monetary Matters to share his decidedly bearish view of the U.S. stock market. Kris argues that volatility markets are not sufficiently pricing in the risks of President Trump’s economic policy, and if that if anything, vol traders are expecting a bounce and laying off hedges rather than buying them. Kris also explains the dispersion trade, vol selling in ETFs, index arb, vanna & volga, VVIX, and margin risk. Recorded on March 18, 2025.
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John Bowman, CEO of CAIA Association, the Association of Chartered Alternative Investment Analysts, joins Jack Farley on a special crossover episode of Monetary Matters and Other People’s Money to discuss the biggest trends in alternative investments. Bowman explains how Tariff uncertainty and other geopolitical factors might be the #1 factor that led to last year’s drop in PE assets, why he believes there is still another shoe to drop in private credit, and that hedge funds are coming back into vogue with alternatives investors.
This episode is brought to you by Fintool, a financial copilot tailored for institutional investors. Fintool leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to discover financial insights beyond the reach of timely human analysis. From summarizing extensive annual reports to computing numbers and unearthing new insights by comparing years of filings, Fintool equips institutional investors like Janus Henderson, First Manhattan and companies like PWC. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm
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James Aitken of Aitken Advisors is one of the world’s most respected investment minds. He joins Monetary Matters to share his view that tariffs - and in particular announced reciprocal tariffs - from the Trump administration are set to slow economic growth in the U.S. from 5% to around 3%, and that accordingly the high-growth environment wherein credit and equities performed extremely well is likely set to give way to a lower-growth environment which will be more bumpy for credit and stocks. Aitken evaluates the current risk-reward in European and Chinese equities, and also shares his analysis of the situation in private credit. Recorded March 14, 2025.
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Recorded on March 13, 2025.
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