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Russian Military Dominance: The speaker argues that Russia is clearly dominating the battlefield and that the West lacks the military and industrial capacity to effectively counter it in the short to medium term.
European Military Limitations: European forces are underprepared and underfunded. Even if political consensus existed, Europe would need 5–10 years of significant military buildup—doubling spending and expanding industrial production—to match Russia’s capabilities.
Russian Mobilization Capacity: Russia may be preparing for a summer offensive or simply planning strategically. They reportedly have a reserve force of up to 5 million and the infrastructure to scale up mobilization within six months.
Strategic Intentions: There's debate over whether Russia wants to expand further into Europe. Some believe Putin desires buffer states rather than outright territorial expansion, mostly to prevent NATO encroachment—a long-standing concern voiced since the 1990s.
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Urgency for Decision: The U.S. government, particularly under Trump’s administration, is signaling that it will decide within days whether it's feasible to negotiate a short-term peace deal in the Russia-Ukraine war. If not, the U.S. is prepared to walk away and stop further engagement.
Shift in U.S. Strategy: Secretary of State (possibly misidentified as Marco Rubio in the text) made strong statements during a stop in Paris, indicating the U.S. is aligning more closely with Russia’s view of the conflict and acknowledging the imbalance of power between Ukraine and Russia.
Stalled Negotiations: While talks between the U.S. and Russia appear to be narrowing in on key issues (like NATO guarantees and territorial control), the gap between the U.S. and Ukraine is widening. Ukraine is seen as resisting the current diplomatic terms.
Past Opportunities Missed: The speaker criticizes previous administrations for failing to act when better deals were possible (e.g., Istanbul early in the war, post-battlefield victories in 2022). Now, the remaining deal options are worse.
Last Chance for Peace: The current negotiations are seen as the last window for a diplomatic resolution. If not accepted, Russia is likely to escalate the war militarily with its growing stockpiles and force readiness.
No Military Solution from the U.S.: The Trump administration has ruled out additional military aid to Ukraine, believing it won't change the war’s outcome and would be a waste of resources.
Concern for Human Cost: Beyond money and equipment, the U.S. emphasizes the high human toll, citing disproportionate Ukrainian casualties. There’s a sense of urgency to stop the war to prevent further loss of life.
Call to Accept Reality: Trump’s team is urging Europe and Ukraine to face the reality of the situation. Continuing to resist negotiations may lead to greater losses and no future peace opportunities.
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Saknas det avsnitt?
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The speaker criticizes Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, accusing him of prolonging the war with Russia despite clear signs of Ukrainian losses and missed opportunities for peace since 2022. He questions why Ukrainian families haven’t more strongly opposed the continuation of the war, suggesting fear of repression may be the reason. The speaker also highlights Zelensky’s stated hatred toward Russians and argues that this emotional stance hinders peace efforts.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov is referenced as claiming Zelensky’s hatred and unwillingness to negotiate are major obstacles to ending the war. The speaker supports this, asserting that Ukraine’s military is shrinking and unsustainable, while Russia’s is growing.
Former President Trump is mentioned as viewing the conflict as President Biden’s responsibility and expressing a desire to end it. Trump is portrayed as aiming to improve relations with Russia and focus on long-term strategic concerns like nuclear nonproliferation and global stability, emphasizing the war must eventually end through diplomacy.
War Rages On while Europe & Zelensky Dither / Lt Col Daniel Davis
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The Business of Nato: Selling FEAR
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The discussion centers around the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, Donald Trump's stance on ending it, and broader geopolitical factors. The conversation explores whether peace is attainable or if further escalation is inevitable.
Key Points:
Trump's Position:
Trump wants to end the Russia-Ukraine war and is showing frustration over the ongoing conflict.
He relies heavily on his "Art of the Deal" approach but may be underestimating Russia's firm stance.
Lawyer Steve Witkoff, acting as a kind of unofficial envoy, had a long, serious discussion with Putin, potentially signaling a shift in understanding.
Challenges for Trump:
He faces internal political pressures from pro-war figures like Marco Rubio and Michael Waltz but is also supported by anti-war voices like JD Vance.
Trump must ultimately take decisive action rather than remaining passive.
Ukraine's Role:
Trump recently suggested that while Russia started the war, Zelensky also bears some blame for provoking it and fighting a war he can't win.
Critics argue that the U.S. bears significant responsibility by encouraging confrontation with Russia via Ukraine to divide it from China—based on a 2021 article outlining such a strategy.
Criticism of U.S. Foreign Policy:
The U.S. is accused of intentionally provoking Russia to weaken it and prevent a Russia-China alliance.
The speaker claims that U.S. assumptions about Russian weakness were false and led to a miscalculated war.
Reaction from Ukraine:
Ukrainian analyst Hanna Shelest argues Trump’s approach is like "cutting off a hand instead of healing it" and accuses Russia of ethnic cleansing in occupied territories.
The speaker counters that claim, saying many in those areas willingly voted to join Russia and that actual persecution happened in Ukraine, not in the Russian-controlled regions.
Conclusion:
The war is unlikely to end through negotiations—it will be decided on the battlefield.
The U.S. and Trump still have influence to stop it but need to take real action, not just talk.
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Trump's Developing Deal w/Iran
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Trump envoy Steve Witco indicated on Fox News that a negotiated settlement to end the war in Ukraine between the U.S. and Russia might be near. While that could be good news for those wanting the war to end, it raised tensions with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, who appears resistant to such negotiations.
Key Points:
Trump vs. Zelensky:
Zelensky criticized Trump and Vice President Harris on 60 Minutes.
Analysts argue Trump may now have more tension with Zelensky than with Putin.
Trump recently said the war "wasn't his" but now it's his responsibility as president.
Trump's Stance on Ending the War:
Trump has talked about ending the war quickly but hasn't yet taken concrete action.
Critics say his administration has largely continued Biden’s Ukraine policy, including ongoing military aid.
Colonel Doug Macgregor’s View:
Says Trump hasn't fully taken control of U.S. foreign policy.
Believes Zelensky should’ve been cut off from U.S. support early.
Claims Trump needs to stop vacillating and take decisive leadership.
Responsibility for the War:
Trump said Putin shouldn’t have started it, but also that Zelensky and Biden could have prevented it.
Macgregor agrees Biden could have stopped the war by halting NATO expansion and negotiating with Russia.
Criticism of NATO and Western Strategy:
The war stems from NATO’s eastward expansion and ignoring Russian warnings.
NATO military support for Ukraine has failed strategically and tactically, with Ukrainian forces bearing the cost.
European & British Reaction:
Some in the UK accuse Trump of repeating Kremlin propaganda.
Macgregor dismisses these critics as part of a declining British elite clinging to outdated power structures.
Zelensky's Role in Prolonging War:
He’s accused of ignoring peace opportunities (e.g. Minsk agreements, Istanbul talks).
Critics say Zelensky’s policies provoked conflict by pushing to retake Crimea and other disputed regions.
Geopolitical Shifts:
The conversation criticizes America’s failed economic war on China and its diminishing global power.
Macgregor argues the “natural world order” (U.S.-led post-WWII dominance) is fading, and new powers (e.g., BRICS nations) are rising.
Conclusion: The discussion is highly critical of U.S. and NATO policies, portrays Zelensky as a puppet propped up by Western elites, and urges Trump to stop wavering and act decisively to end the war. It reflects a broader skepticism of current Western foreign policy and highlights shifting global power dynamics.
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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky insists that a “just peace” means reclaiming all Ukrainian territory occupied by Russia, stating that Ukraine will never accept Russian control of those areas. He emphasizes Ukraine’s sovereignty and determination, though he doesn’t offer a clear strategy for how to achieve this.
The discussion then shifts to the geopolitical tension between Zelensky, Putin, and Trump, suggesting that Zelensky and parts of Europe may be trying to drive a wedge between Trump and Putin, potentially complicating peace negotiations. There's concern that some European leaders, such as Macron and Scholz, are more focused on political posturing than on military or diplomatic effectiveness.
Colonel Jacques Baud, a former NATO officer, critiques the lack of clear Western strategy—both from Zelensky and European leaders. He argues that:
Zelensky continues military operations that have failed and lacked strategic value.
Ukraine missed an opportunity for peace in April 2022.
Western nations, including the EU, show no real plan for resolution—relying instead on anti-Russia rhetoric and symbolic gestures.
Trump, despite criticisms, at least shows a willingness to engage diplomatically with Russia.
A missile strike on the Ukrainian city of Sumy is discussed as a case study in propaganda and blame. Zelensky used the attack to condemn Russia, but a Ukrainian politician revealed that a military ceremony in a civilian area may have provoked the strike. Baud suggests these narratives may be manipulated to maintain Western support, and stresses the need for neutral international investigations into such incidents.
The segment ends with a broader critique of European diplomacy, particularly figures like Kaja Kallas, who focus heavily on anti-Russia sentiment without offering coherent strategies or engaging in other global crises.
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Trump's Peace Initiative: Donald Trump has prioritized ending the Russia-Ukraine war in his 2024 presidential campaign. Since returning to office, he has initiated diplomacy previously absent, including sending delegations and engaging directly with Vladimir Putin.
Recent Diplomacy: Steve Witkoff, one of Trump’s envoys, met with Putin in St. Petersburg in a 5-hour meeting. This is part of ongoing negotiations aimed at brokering peace. Meanwhile, Trump has had direct communication with Putin and sent multiple delegations abroad.
Conflicting US Strategies: There is internal conflict within Trump’s team:
Steve Witkoff has proposed a controversial plan that reportedly accepts Russia's control over four eastern Ukrainian regions, drawing backlash from humanitarian groups and political figures.
Keith Kellogg, another Trump envoy, opposes Witkoff’s plan, arguing it would require Ukraine to cede too much and abandon civilians in contested areas.
Russian Demands: Russia, through figures like Sergey Lavrov, insists on:
Recognition of territorial claims (June 14 lines).
Ukrainian neutrality (no NATO membership).
Demilitarization and “denazification” of Ukraine.
Kellogg's Alternative Plan: Kellogg proposed a post-war partition of Ukraine similar to post-WWII Berlin, with Western forces (British and French) stationed in western Ukraine. This is seen as provocative by Russia, contradicting their demand for no NATO presence.
Ukrainian Dilemma: Ukraine faces a difficult choice—either accept Trump-Putin terms and potentially lose territory and displace civilians, or continue fighting with uncertain Western support. The conflict is reaching a decision point.
Conclusion: The path to peace is complicated by internal U.S. disagreements, firm Russian demands, and the harsh reality for Ukrainian leadership. Any progress will likely hinge on whether a direct Trump-Putin meeting occurs and what terms can realistically be accepted by all sides.
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China Strikes Back against U.S. / Lt Col Daniel Davis
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Western Ammunition Depletion:
The UK and EU have depleted their munitions stockpiles by sending old or excess supplies to Ukraine.
These supplies were often destroyed after arrival, particularly in Poland.
Europe now has little left and is borrowing money to fund further aid, with no clear return on investment.
Western Narratives vs. Reality:
Western leaders and media have repeatedly claimed Russia was on the verge of collapse—running out of ammunition, tanks, and troops—which has proven false.
In contrast, Russia has increased military production and reportedly has far superior industrial and manpower reserves compared to Ukraine and the West.
Russian Military Strength:
Russia is producing more equipment and munitions than the combined West, bolstered by support from countries like North Korea.
Russia also has a large reserve of trained military personnel they can still mobilize, unlike Ukraine.
Inevitability of Russian Advances:
If diplomatic solutions fail, Russia is likely to continue expanding on the battlefield.
Ukrainian manpower and resources are insufficient to resist a sustained Russian offensive.
Diplomacy & U.S. Role:
Unlike Western Europe, which is accused of ignoring root causes, the U.S. is engaging in deeper discussions with Russia, including post-war relations, disarmament, and economic issues.
Russian officials, particularly Lavrov, emphasize that NATO expansion into Ukraine was a red line and must be reversed permanently for peace.
Territorial Demands:
Russia dismisses the idea of returning to Ukraine’s 1991 borders.
The "minimum" Russian demands now appear to include full control over the four annexed regions and possibly more territory, especially areas with significant ethnic Russian populations.
Russian Offensive Movements:
Video and intelligence suggest Russia is mobilizing for a new offensive, especially in the Zaporizhzhia region.
These movements signal strategic intent, not just bargaining, as Russia appears ready and willing to continue advancing militarily.
Zelensky’s Position:
Ukraine continues to request more Western support, particularly Patriot missile systems, but has received little.
Ukraine’s stance remains firm on not ceding territory, though this position appears increasingly untenable given the military imbalance.
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Please visit Alexander at: https://www.youtube.com/@AlexMercouris/videos
https://www.youtube.com/@TheDuran/videos
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The discussion focuses on the current state of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, offering a critical view of Western narratives and emphasizing Russia's growing strength and strategic advances.
Military Situation: Russia is reportedly making steady advances along the entire frontline (~2,000 km), particularly in Zaporizhzhia and Sumy. While Ukraine occasionally mounts local counterattacks and regains small areas, these are often temporary and reversed.Russian Strategy: According to analyst Larry Johnson, Russia is already engaged in a large-scale, coordinated offensive involving significant forces. Their operations aim to overstretch Ukrainian defenses, which are increasingly under strain due to manpower and resource shortages.Future Outlook: Russia is expected to continue pushing toward the Dnipro River, intending to annex and hold all territory east of it. Referendums may follow to integrate these areas into Russia, similar to past votes in Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia.Western and Ukrainian Leadership Critique: Western military officials (like Gen. Cavoli and Ben Hodges) are accused of misrepresenting the situation, suggesting Ukraine is improving while Russia struggles. The presenters criticize this as delusional and liken it to past U.S. military leadership errors in Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan.Casualties and Resources: Russia is believed to be inflicting heavy losses on Ukrainian forces while minimizing its own. Despite claims of Russian setbacks, Johnson argues that Russia’s military production (especially artillery) exceeds that of the U.S. and Europe combined.Strategic Framing: The presenters argue that Russia is fighting a proxy war against NATO, while the West underestimates Russia’s resolve and overestimates Ukraine’s ability to sustain the fight.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
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The speaker compares the Rwandan genocide and the replacement of local Tutsi populations by those from Uganda to Israel’s displacement of Palestinians in 1948. He argues that forcibly moving people does not resolve conflict—it creates enduring resentment and calls for return.
The Gaza Blockade:
The claim that Israel didn’t "lock in" Gazans is disputed. The speaker stresses that Gaza has been under an Israeli siege for 16 years—by land, air, and sea—with only limited Egyptian access. This has effectively trapped the population and controlled their movement and resources.
Palestinian Displacement as Policy:
The idea of "giving Gazans a choice to leave" is framed as a euphemism for ethnic cleansing. The speaker argues that even if some countries accepted refugees, millions would remain. He fears a humanitarian catastrophe and says Israel’s policies risk massive civilian death.
Lack of Political Vision:
He criticizes Israeli leadership, particularly Netanyahu, for having no long-term solution beyond maintaining a status quo of conflict and suffering. The speaker claims Netanyahu is prolonging the war for political survival.
The Future of Israel:
The presentation warns that Israel risks becoming a full apartheid state and a global pariah, losing support even among Jewish communities worldwide. Without a vision of shared equality, peace is unattainable.
International Complicity and Guilt:
The West is accused of enabling Israel due to Holocaust guilt. This guilt, the speaker says, is perversely allowing actions that harm Palestinians and, ultimately, Jews themselves.
The Holocaust and International Law:
He argues that Israel is using the Holocaust as justification for disproportionate violence and in doing so, undermining the entire post-WWII international legal framework meant to prevent atrocities.
The conversation ends with the interviewer expressing deep gratitude for the speaker's willingness to speak out despite backlash, and a shared belief that the current trajectory will have lasting negative consequences for all parties involved.
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Trump imposed 104% tariffs on China, emphasizing his strategy of retaliating aggressively when challenged.
He believes China wants to make a deal but doesn’t know how to start negotiations.
Trump is open to negotiations and claims he will be “gracious” if China reaches out.
China’s Reaction:
In response, China imposed 84% tariffs on the U.S., signaling they will not be intimidated and are ready to push back hard.
Expert Commentary (Prof. John Mearsheimer):
China and other nations (Russia, Iran, North Korea) understand Trump only respects toughness.
The current situation is a classic case of hardball diplomacy, with both sides posturing strongly.
Strategic View:
Trump sees short-term economic pain as necessary for long-term gain:
Absolute gain: Rebuilding U.S. manufacturing will benefit America economically.
Relative gain: China will be hurt more, shifting the power balance in favor of the U.S.
Skepticism from Economists:
Most economists see these tariffs as a "boneheaded" move, likely to hurt the global economy and disrupt trade without clear benefits.
Long-Term Uncertainty:
The true effects of these tariffs are unpredictable, similar to how sanctions on Russia didn’t have the intended effect.
Diplomatic Repercussions:
Trump's aggressive, transactional approach undermines trust in U.S. reliability as a partner.
Allies in East and Southeast Asia (e.g., South Korea, Vietnam) may begin to reassess their ties with the U.S.
Vietnam Case Study:
Vietnam, heavily reliant on U.S. trade, is panicked by the tariffs despite being eager to cooperate.
Damaging economic ties with Vietnam may also undermine important security alliances in the region.
John Bolton’s View:
Bolton criticizes Trump for eroding decades of international trust and says this creates an opening for China.
The issue isn’t just economic—it’s about the U.S. losing its reputation as a reliable global leader.
Final Thoughts:
The consensus is that while Trump’s approach may yield some leverage, the cost to U.S. credibility and alliances could be profound and lasting
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Hope for a ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine war is fading, with Russia preparing for large-scale military operations.
Trump had claimed he could end the war quickly, but negotiations and on-the-ground realities have proven far more complex and prolonged.
Negotiation Efforts and Setbacks
Initial talks between Trump and Putin showed promise, but actions failed to materialize on the battlefield.
Tensions between Trump and Zelenskyy escalated, further complicating peace efforts.
Russia appears increasingly unwilling to negotiate unless its core demands are met (e.g., demilitarization, no NATO, denazification).
Russian Narrative and Historical Parallels
Russia is linking the current war to its WWII legacy, emphasizing its role in defeating Nazi Germany.
Lavrov and Putin are framing the conflict as a continuation of the "Great Patriotic War", portraying Ukraine as a threat infused with Nazi ideology.
This messaging is intended to build domestic support and justify sacrifices as existential and patriotic.
Victory Day and Propaganda
Russia is gearing up for an expanded Victory Day celebration (80th anniversary of WWII's end for Russia).
The government is using this event to reinforce historical narratives and bolster national unity and war morale.
Military and Ideological Goals
Putin frames the war as a fight for the "Motherland", evoking deep emotional and cultural ties for Russians.
Russia continues to push the narrative of "denazification" and insists it must remove ideological threats near its borders.
These positions suggest Russia will only accept peace on its own terms, which are unlikely to be accepted by Ukraine or the West.
Ukraine’s Position
Zelenskyy remains defiant, rejecting Russia's demands and continuing military efforts to pressure Russia by pushing into border regions (e.g., Belgorod and Kursk).
Ukraine claims these incursions are intended to ease pressure on the eastern front, though their long-term effectiveness is questionable.
Current Military Situation
Russian forces are largely made up of professional contract soldiers, and Ukraine’s attempts at counterattacks have seen initial success followed by setbacks.
Russia maintains a methodical, sustained offensive, showing no signs of rushing to end the conflict.
Outlook
The war appears set to continue, with Russia escalating militarily and unwilling to compromise.
Peace negotiations are stalled, and both sides are entrenched in fundamentally opposed goals.
The Russian public is being prepared for long-term sacrifice, signaling a potentially broader or more intense phase of the war ahead.
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Military & Afghanistan:
The speaker criticizes the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, calling it one of the most embarrassing events in U.S. history.He claims billions of dollars in military equipment were left behind.Despite that, he praises the strength of the U.S. military and states it was rebuilt during his first term.A new $1 trillion defense budget is being approved to maintain military strength while cutting unrelated spending.Iran & Foreign Policy:
The U.S. is directly negotiating with Iran at a high level, with a key meeting scheduled for Saturday.The speaker expresses hope for a potential deal and emphasizes direct, not surrogate, communication.Trade & Tariffs:
The speaker defends the use of tariffs, saying they prevent the U.S. from being taken advantage of.He criticizes the European Union, alleging it was formed to hurt U.S. trade interests and takes unfair advantage through tariffs and non-tariff barriers.He claims the U.S. trade deficit with the EU is $350 billion and suggests it could be erased if Europe buys more American energy.Energy & Economy:
The U.S. has more energy resources than any other country, including oil, gas, and coal.He blames Biden-era energy policy for inflation, citing rising energy prices.He claims his administration brought energy and food prices down and improved the economy.Israel & Hostages:
He expresses strong support for Israel and efforts to free hostages.He recounts stories from released hostages, describing harsh conditions and the lack of compassion shown by their captors.Trade Barriers & Currency Manipulation:
He explains that tariffs aren't the only issue—non-monetary trade barriers and currency manipulation also hurt U.S. businesses.He wants these barriers addressed to make trade fair and reciprocal.Overall Theme:
The speaker argues that his leadership has strengthened the military, improved the economy, and made the U.S. stronger in trade.He emphasizes his unique ability to address longstanding problems in trade, military funding, and foreign policy.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
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1. Russian Diplomatic Strategy
Russia often engages in diplomacy not to resolve conflict, but as part of a strategy to buy time or shift dynamics.Ultimately, decisions are made in Moscow, and diplomacy is seen as a tool, not a solution.2. Russian War Objectives
The primary political goal is regime change in Kyiv, replacing what is described as a “NATO puppet” and “neo-Nazi” government.The military goal is the complete destruction of the Ukrainian armed forces.Putin’s comments about “finishing off” Ukraine’s troops are taken literally, not as diplomatic posturing.3. Timeline and Strategy
The Russian military has been told that combat will continue through 2025.After 2025, there may be a shift to political settlement.The war is seen by Russian leadership as existential; they want to ensure Ukraine cannot re-emerge militarily.4. Public Sentiment and Refugees
Many Russians are opposed to the presence of Ukrainian refugees, seeing them as potential security risks or “sleeper cells.”Putin signed an executive order to remove unregistered Ukrainian males of military age from Russia.5. Military Developments
Russia could take Kyiv but doesn’t want to govern Ukraine—only to install a compliant government.Operations are reportedly intensifying in Sumy and Zaporizhzhia, with potential large-scale offensives underway or being prepared.Intelligence suggests Russian forces are making quiet but steady gains, particularly in the Sumy region.6. Western Perceptions vs. Russian View
Critics say Russia’s progress has been slow and limited (about 22% of Ukraine).The speaker argues that Russia’s goal is not to take land, but to destroy Ukraine's military.Capturing territory is secondary to annihilating Ukraine’s capacity to resist.7. Military Manpower & Attrition
Ukraine’s forces are reportedly depleted, with younger and less experienced troops, including women, increasingly being deployed.Russia is deliberately avoiding major offensives in heavily populated, anti-Russian cities (e.g., Kharkiv) to minimize their own casualties and maintain domestic stability.8. Russian Strategic Approach
The war is framed as a “special military operation” rather than full-scale war to avoid full mobilization and preserve the Russian economy.Russia seeks slow, steady attrition rather than rapid conquest, avoiding a total war economy.9. Demographics & Impact
Ukraine’s population is estimated to have dropped from 40 million to about 20 million, largely due to refugees.The speaker uses this as a metric to argue that Russia’s strategy is working, regardless of Western perception.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
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Topic: U.S.–China Trade Deficit and Global Trade Wars
Trump’s Position:The U.S. has a massive trade deficit with China, allegedly up to $1 trillion.Trump emphasizes that China must resolve its trade surplus before a deal can be made.The U.S. has imposed broad tariffs, not just on China, but on many countries—except Russia.The goal is to re-industrialize America and protect national security through domestic manufacturing.Expert Opinions:Commodore Steve Jeremy notes the trade war's intent may be valid—reviving American industry—but questions whether tariffs are the right tool.The global economy is already fragile, possibly near a deep recession; trade wars could worsen this.He points to high national debts, reliance on foreign manufacturing, and vulnerabilities in energy markets as key concerns.Historical and Structural Issues:The trade imbalance has roots in the 1980s economic policy shifts, with Western countries outsourcing production for cost savings.Cheap shipping (fueled by cheap oil) made globalization viable, but we may now be hitting peak oil, changing that equation.Risks of Escalation:China is retaliating, e.g., with restrictions on rare earth exports, critical for U.S. tech and defense.Tit-for-tat tariffs could escalate quickly—Trump threatens a 50% tariff increase if China doesn’t back down.There's concern that this approach is not win-win but zero-sum, making cooperation unlikely.Strategic Consequences:Actions may push China, Russia, Iran, and others closer together, economically and geopolitically.There’s growing talk of de-dollarization—nations distancing themselves from U.S. financial systems and the dollar.Final Takeaway:While re-industrialization and protecting national interests are seen as valid objectives, the use of trade wars and tariffs may be economically risky, politically isolating, and unlikely to succeed without deeper structural changes.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
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Peace Talks Continue So Does the Bloodshed - Col Daniel Davis
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- Visa fler
