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  • The speaker discusses insights from a visit to Russia and conversations with influential figures, emphasizing a hardened Russian stance on the Ukraine war. The military-industrial leadership, though not traditional soldiers, supports Medvedev’s hardline position on achieving an unconditional surrender from Ukraine, drawing parallels to World War II sentiments. Despite the impact of Western sanctions on their businesses, they remain supportive of the Russian government’s position.

    There is a broad consensus among Russians—and some voices from countries like India and Angola—that the conflict stems from Western overreach, not Russian aggression. These international voices often view the war as a disruption to the global order and would prefer a negotiated settlement, though they may accept Ukraine’s loss if it occurs, blaming the West for the outcome.

    Medvedev’s rhetoric, often dismissed in the West, reflects a deep and resolute national sentiment. While he voices the uncompromising, militaristic narrative, Putin plays the diplomatic role, keeping the door open to negotiations while still preparing for victory through military means.

    On the diplomatic front, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov dismissed the idea of a ceasefire preceding peace talks, insisting on a treaty first and questioning the legitimacy of Ukraine’s leadership. This signals that Russia is not interested in Western-led frameworks for peace unless its maximalist demands, including political restructuring in Ukraine, are met.

    In conclusion, the dominant Russian view is one of resolve and inevitability—a belief that victory will be achieved through sustained effort and that current Western diplomacy misunderstands Russia's long-term goals and public sentiment.

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  • John Mearsheimer: Putin Orders BUFFER ZONE /U.S. Dazed & Confused

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  • Reconnaissance and Targeting:

    Drones are used in reconnaissance roles to spot targets and relay live video streams to command and artillery units. They can help adjust fire if communications fail, including using Russian-speaking team members to direct artillery.

    Payload Capacity and Resupply:

    The drones can carry significant weight, including Russian MREs, cigarettes, water bottles, and other supplies, for friendly resupply. However, heavier loads drain batteries faster, so trade-offs must be considered to avoid losing expensive drones.

    FPV vs. Mavic Drones:

    FPV (First-Person View) drones, often used as "suicide drones," have a higher failure rate due to electronic warfare (EW), but fiber-optic versions are increasingly used and are much harder to jam.

    Mavic drones, which are not designed to be disposable, are flown carefully to avoid losing them. They often reach their targets successfully unless entering high-EW zones, which operators try to avoid or bypass.

    Drone Warfare Environment:

    Drones have made movement on the front lines dangerous for both sides. Operators describe scenarios where it's risky to even leave trenches.

    Ukrainian drones are highly effective, often carrying multiple grenades. Russian operators give credit to Western support for Ukraine’s drone capabilities.

    Electronic Warfare & Attrition:

    EW can disrupt drones, destroy antennas, and force relocation, creating a cycle of constant adaptation. Warfare has become attritional—about who runs out of supplies and equipment first.

    Nature of Modern Warfare:

    The conflict is no longer characterized by close-quarters firefights. Instead, it's dominated by drones and artillery. Traditional infantry movement is rare due to the constant surveillance and threat from drones.

    Balance of Power:

    The Russian side claims superiority in manpower, artillery, armor, and air defense, but acknowledges that drone capabilities are more evenly matched between Russia and Ukraine. Despite that, the Russian speaker believes Russia also has the edge in drones.

    Conclusion:

    Modern frontline warfare in Ukraine is heavily influenced by drone technology and electronic warfare. Movement is restricted, logistics are challenged, and combat is increasingly remote and attritional. Drones serve multiple roles—reconnaissance, resupply, and direct attack—and both sides are adapting rapidly with evolving technologies.

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  • Ukraine CeaseFire NEVER!

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  • Trump’s Position: Former President Trump indicated he has a "red line" for U.S. involvement in the conflict but won't publicly define it. He believes the U.S. should never have been involved, calling it a "death trap."

    Stalemate in Negotiations: Despite recent calls and dialogue between global leaders, the positions of Ukraine and Russia have become more entrenched, with little sign of compromise.

    Russian Perspective: A former British official notes that Russia feels emboldened due to perceived divisions in the West and sees itself as addressing long-standing security concerns, especially NATO's eastward expansion. These concerns date back to the early 2000s.

    Loss of Military Dialogue: After the 2014 annexation of Crimea, military-to-military dialogue between Russia and the West was cut off. The official believes this was a serious mistake that eliminated valuable channels of understanding and conflict prevention.

    Zelensky's Position: Ukrainian President Zelensky has firmly rejected Russian demands, vowing never to surrender Ukrainian territory or accept ultimatums.

    Intractable Conflict: The gap between Russia and Ukraine’s demands remains wide. Russia insists on territorial withdrawals by Ukraine, while Ukraine refuses any concessions.

    Western Limitations: There's acknowledgment that while the West supports Ukraine, it has not provided enough to ensure a decisive victory. The policy has been to support just enough to resist, but not enough to win outright.

    Inevitable Negotiations: There’s broad agreement that the war won’t end militarily but through a negotiated settlement. However, the conditions for that remain distant.

    Root Causes Ignored: The West has largely failed to engage with what Russia views as the root causes of the conflict, such as NATO expansion and security concerns, which has hindered diplomatic solutions.

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  • The speaker warns that while the U.S. often boasts of its capabilities, it may be falling behind technologically and socially compared to rivals like China. He uses the poor condition of U.S. infrastructure (e.g., New York subways) as a metaphor for broader national decline, contrasting it with clean and elegant Moscow subways to illustrate differing national priorities and competence.

    The conversation then shifts to U.S.-Russia-Ukraine tensions. Trump had a phone call with Putin and seemed optimistic, but European leaders were confused, as Putin’s public stance hadn't changed—Russia still demands Ukraine concede territory and NATO back off. Russian officials like Medvedev and Lavrov have emphasized that Ukraine's chance at remaining a sovereign state may soon vanish if no settlement is reached. Russia appears firm on expanding control to all of what it sees as “NovoRussia,” likely up to the Dnipro River, and protecting Orthodox believers in Ukraine.

    The discussion also critiques U.S. policy, arguing the U.S. has escalated tensions through NATO expansion and military exercises since the Clinton era, and that Trump was largely kept in the dark during his presidency by Pentagon and CIA officials. The speaker believes Russia doesn’t want endless war but will achieve its goals—peace on its terms—by force if needed. Comparisons are made to Abraham Lincoln’s Civil War stance: unity at all costs.

    General Jack Keane is criticized for portraying Putin as a genocidal criminal while ignoring the actions of leaders like Netanyahu. The segment concludes by transitioning to U.S. Senate discussions on Trump’s position on Gaza, indicating a broader critique of American foreign policy inconsistency.

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  • Trump's Perspective:

    Trump claimed he urged Putin to end the "bloodbath" in Ukraine.He suggested he told Putin if an agreement couldn’t be reached, he’d walk away from negotiations.He framed the conversation as positive and believed Putin wants peace.

    Criticism of Trump’s Approach:

    Analysts argue Trump showed naïveté and misunderstood the dynamics.By saying he'd walk away if talks fail, he may have incentivized Russia to stall.Trump also ignores the fact that the U.S. is not a neutral mediator—it is a co-belligerent supporting Ukraine.

    Russia’s Consistent Position:

    Putin has not changed his demands: Ukrainian neutrality, Russian control of annexed territories, recognition of Crimea, and "denazification".Russian media and officials saw the call as a win, giving them more time while projecting openness to peace.The "memorandum" mentioned is seen as a vague tool to stall and delay real negotiations.

    Russian Strategy and Sentiment:

    Russia is in no rush to end the war without securing strategic goals.Domestic Russian sentiment opposes making concessions after heavy casualties.Officials like Peskov are signaling patience, with no deadlines, implying that talks are more for show.

    U.S. and European Misunderstandings:

    Western leaders are accused of misjudging Russia’s intentions and resilience.Europe wants influence in postwar Ukraine, which Russia will not allow.Putin is seen as willing to drag the conflict out to secure a permanent outcome, unlike the West’s desire for a quick resolution.

    Media Commentary:

    Russian media praised Putin’s performance and diplomatic skill.U.S. analysts like Jack Keane and J.D. Vance made misinformed or inconsistent statements, showing a poor grasp of Russia's strategy and public sentiment.

    Conclusion:

    Russia remains unmoved and strategically consistent.Trump’s impatience and misunderstanding of the geopolitical landscape could undermine his credibility.Any peace talks that don’t acknowledge Russia’s fundamental conditions are likely to be fruitless or drawn out indefinitely.

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  • U.S. Middle East Policy INFLAMES & Aggravates /Lt Col Daniel Davis

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    President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin had a two-hour phone call, followed by Trump speaking with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, EU leaders like Ursula von der Leyen, and others. Trump expressed enthusiasm afterward, suggesting Russia and Ukraine would start ceasefire negotiations. Putin, on the other hand, seemed neutral or mildly optimistic, sticking to familiar positions.

    Key Takeaways:

    Putin’s Stance Unchanged: The Russian side, including top officials like Yuri Ushakov and Dmitry Peskov, reiterated long-standing demands: no ceasefire until the “root causes” of the conflict are addressed. They consider NATO expansion and Western betrayal (e.g., Minsk Agreements) as key issues.

    Minsk Agreements Distrust: Russians believe they were deceived by the West during previous ceasefire deals (e.g., Minsk), which were allegedly used to arm Ukraine rather than resolve conflict. Statements from leaders like Angela Merkel have reinforced this perception.

    No Planned Putin-Trump Meeting: The Kremlin confirmed no meeting between Trump and Putin is being arranged, despite some U.S. media suggesting otherwise.

    Trump’s Alternate Reality: Analysts argue Trump misunderstands the situation, assuming that a ceasefire is imminent and believing false narratives about Russia's military losses or economic collapse. They claim he is poorly briefed and still tries to act as a neutral mediator, despite U.S. involvement.

    Russian Diplomacy View: Putin may have spoken politely during the call, but experts believe he was likely firm and uncompromising behind diplomatic language.

    Negotiation Sequence Disagreement: The West, including Trump, often argues ceasefire first, then negotiations. Russia insists it must be the opposite: address root causes first, then possibly a ceasefire.

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  • Summary of Post-Russia-Ukraine Talks Update:

    First Talks Since 2022: Russia and Ukraine held their first direct talks in over three years. Both sides agreed to a 1,000-for-1,000 prisoner exchange, and committed to continue talking, which is seen as a positive sign diplomatically.Disagreements Persist:Europeans and Ukrainians: Unhappy with results. Europe demanded a 30-day unconditional ceasefire, which Russia rejected. Western leaders blamed Putin as the main obstacle to peace.Russia: Came out satisfied and added new demands, including:Withdrawal of Ukrainian forces from all of the four annexed oblasts (Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson, Zaporizhzhia).No NATO membership for Ukraine.No war reparations.International recognition of Russia's control over Crimea and the four oblasts.Protection of Russian speakers in remaining Ukrainian territory.Talks Result: Rather than narrowing, the gap between the sides widened, with Russia increasing its demands and Ukraine/Europe holding firm.Russian Leverage: Russia feels increasingly confident and even warned that failure to agree could lead them to claim eight oblasts, not just four.U.S. Role: The U.S. has no clear position currently. Trump previously claimed he could end the war quickly but has not delivered. Despite saying mediation would stop by May 1, U.S. diplomats are still involved. Trump suggests only he can make a deal, but his plan is unclear, and there is no evidence either side is ready to compromise.Conclusion: While talks are better than nothing, the war is nowhere near resolution. Both sides are entrenched, Russia is emboldened, and Western powers lack leverage to force concessions.

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  • Leaders from both Russia and the West accused each other of not wanting peace in Ukraine. Western leaders, including those in Istanbul, claimed Putin isn't serious about peace. Conversely, some figures argued that Berlin, Paris, Brussels, and especially London also don't genuinely seek peace.

    Outcome of Talks in Istanbul:

    Talks were brief (about an hour) and largely symbolic.

    Most participants seemed to expect little outcome.

    Only Russia and Ukraine had formal talks, with additional meetings involving the U.S., U.K., Germany, France, Turkey, and Ukraine.

    Marco Rubio (U.S. Secretary of State in this narrative) said only a direct Trump–Putin meeting could lead to progress, despite prior interactions between them.

    Russia’s Position:

    Russia reiterated demands made in 2022 and June 2023:

    Recognition of administrative borders.

    Demilitarization.

    "Denazification."

    No NATO membership for Ukraine.

    Russia remains open to conditional ceasefire talks but rejects any unconditional ceasefire.

    Ukraine’s Position (Zelensky’s Comments):

    Ukraine’s delegation had authority to negotiate, but claims Russia repeated old positions.

    Zelensky sees the talks as a performance and reaffirmed past demands:

    30-day ceasefire on Ukraine's terms.

    No territorial concessions.

    Continued military support and security guarantees from the U.S. and Europe.

    He publicly appealed to Trump, seeking continued U.S. backing.

    U.S. Position and Internal Disarray:

    The U.S. appears inconsistent:

    Rubio calls for Trump–Putin talks.

    Trump claims urgency to end the war, but contradicts Ukraine’s goals (e.g., no NATO or security guarantees).

    Western leaders made bold demands (e.g., ceasefire or sanctions) but took no follow-up action, weakening their credibility.

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  • The Cost of War Is Real and Ongoing

    Soldiers and their families continue to suffer from past wars (Iraq, Afghanistan).The deaths and trauma are often forgotten by the public and policymakers.War shouldn't be treated as a casual or inevitable policy option.

    2. War with Iran Would Be Disastrous

    Iran is not Iraq; it has 85 million people, rugged terrain, and alliances with Russia and China.A U.S. strike would likely provoke Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz, spiking global oil prices and damaging the U.S. economy.The risk of nuclear confrontation is real for the first time since the Cuban Missile Crisis.

    3. The Push for War Is Driven by Others' Agendas

    Figures like Lindsey Graham, John Bolton, and Tom Cotton are accused of relentlessly pushing for war.Israel is portrayed as a driving force behind calls for attacking Iran, with U.S. support being misused.The U.S. military should not be a tool for foreign powers to settle their own scores.

    4. Diplomacy Is Still an Option

    The U.S. can and should choose diplomacy over war.Past agreements like the Iran nuclear deal (JCPOA) effectively constrained Iran’s nuclear ambitions until they were abandoned.The speaker calls for restraint, realism, and long-term thinking over short-sighted militarism.

    5. Moral and Constitutional Responsibility

    America should uphold its Constitutional principles and only go to war when directly attacked.Leaders have a duty to protect American lives, not risk them for foreign territorial disputes.

    Conclusion:

    The speaker urges Americans to reject unnecessary war, advocate for peace through strength and diplomacy, and stop letting vested interests manipulate foreign policy. The future depends on wise choices today — prioritizing American lives, values, and long-term stability over reckless interventionism.

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  • Maria Zakharova's Reaction: The Russian spokeswoman expressed unusually harsh criticism toward Zelensky, reflecting growing frustration from the Russian side.

    Zelensky’s Demands: Zelensky has called for a 30-day unconditional ceasefire and made strong demands of Western leaders and allies, which the commentator argues are unreasonable given Ukraine's weakened position in the war.

    Criticism of Zelensky: The speaker claims Zelensky is delusional, disconnected from reality, and a master manipulator who knows how to use media to craft powerful narratives, even when not grounded in current battlefield realities.

    Russia’s Gains: According to the commentary and citing the New York Times, Russia has gained approximately 1,800–2,000 square miles of territory in the last year, underscoring Ukraine's battlefield struggles.

    Trump’s Role & Comments: Trump previously claimed he could end the war quickly, but his actions since taking office haven't aligned with that claim. The speaker criticizes Trump for being vague and reactive, especially in suggesting he'd only attend negotiations if Putin does.

    Zelensky’s Recent Statement: Zelensky criticized Russia’s low-level delegation at talks with Turkey and framed it as a sign of disrespect, continuing to push for international support and partnership despite his country's losses.

    Overall Argument: The commentator believes that Zelensky is driving Western policy on Ukraine but doing so with unrealistic goals, while Western leaders are enabling him to their own detriment. The speaker warns that if current strategies don’t change, it will lead to worse outcomes for Ukraine, Europe, and potentially the U.S.

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  • President Trump was asked whether he would attend potential peace talks in Istanbul regarding the Russia-Ukraine war. He said he might go if he believes a settlement is possible, implying that his presence could influence the outcome. He also expressed skepticism about whether Vladimir Putin would attend if he doesn't.Ukrainian President Zelensky initially said he would go to Istanbul and expected Putin to attend. However, his office later downgraded expectations, stating the meeting would likely be at a lower, technical level (e.g., deputy foreign ministers), not involving top leaders.Putin, while not confirming attendance, proposed direct talks between Russia and Ukraine in Istanbul. His move is seen as a strategic bluff-call to the West’s ceasefire demands.

    Key Takeaways from Analyst Andrei Martyanov:

    Zelensky’s Walkback: The shift from bold declarations to lower-level talks signals Ukraine was bluffing and had to adjust when Russia called it.Western Role: The recent diplomatic push (from leaders in France, the UK, and Poland) for a ceasefire is viewed by Martyanov as performative and unrealistic, given the military situation.Russia’s Strategy: The Kremlin prefers not to negotiate with Zelensky, viewing him as a figurehead. They insist on recognizing “realities on the ground,” meaning Russia's military control in eastern Ukraine must be a starting point for any settlement.Military Situation: According to Russian sources, Ukraine is suffering high daily casualties (~1,400 KIA). Russia claims low losses due to superior training, technology, and strategy. Russian forces are reportedly using "operational cauldrons" to encircle and pressure Ukrainian forces.

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    President Trump is visiting Qatar after a high-profile trip to Saudi Arabia, continuing a Middle East tour aimed at securing major economic deals. The panel discusses the transactional nature of Trump’s diplomacy—focusing on economic and political gains over consistent strategic or moral principles.

    A major point of criticism is Trump's apparent distancing from Israel during this tour. Despite Israel's ongoing conflict in Gaza, Trump hasn't prioritized direct talks with them, instead meeting controversial figures like Al-Golani, the leader of a terrorist group with a history of violence. This has raised concerns about the U.S. losing moral credibility by engaging with such figures for short-term gains.

    The panel also discusses Trump’s lifting of sanctions on Syria, possibly at the behest of Saudi Arabia, signaling a shift in regional alliances and interests. There's skepticism about whether Trump’s moves, like normalizing relations with Syria, will lead to lasting stability or simply serve superficial or self-serving goals.

    In closing, the analysts note the inconsistency of U.S. foreign policy—claiming to oppose terrorism while supporting or engaging with violent actors when convenient—which they argue undermines America’s credibility on the world stage.

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    The Balance of Power in the Russo-Ukraine War / Steve Jermy

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    Topic: Possible Peace Talks in Istanbul and U.S. Involvement

    Trump’s Comments: Former President Donald Trump expressed optimism about potential peace talks between Russia and Ukraine scheduled for Thursday in Istanbul. He said he might even attend if he believes it would help progress negotiations.

    Location and Participants: While both Russia and Ukraine may send representatives, experts doubt both leaders (Putin and Zelensky) will be present. Zelensky has challenged Putin to attend, but it's seen as unlikely due to the lack of pre-negotiation groundwork.

    Contrasting Demands:

    Zelensky insists on a 30-day unconditional ceasefire before talks.

    Putin has rejected any preconditions, calling for immediate direct talks while military operations continue.

    Balance of Power: Analysts argue that Russia holds the military advantage and has no incentive to agree to a ceasefire that would allow Ukraine to regroup. They believe Ukraine and its Western backers lack the leverage to force Russia into concessions.

    Media and Diplomatic Spin:

    Western figures like former U.S. Ambassador Kurt Volker are accused of misrepresenting Russia's stated grievances.

    Critics argue that dismissing Russia’s historical concerns (e.g., NATO expansion) contributes to the diplomatic impasse.

    Putin’s Approach: Seen as strategic and measured, emphasizing diplomacy without halting military action. He’s portrayed as playing a multi-board geopolitical “chess game” effectively.

    Western Strategy Questioned: Commentators suggest that Western leaders may be promoting unrealistic expectations, focusing more on messaging than power realities.

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    U.S. Military Aid to Israel: The U.S. has lost 22 $30 million drones, 7 since mid-March, along with spending on interceptor missiles and other weapons. This high cost is making Trump reconsider continued support for Israel, especially as Netanyahu signals a prolonged military campaign in Gaza that would heavily rely on U.S. backing.

    Trump’s Shift in Focus: Trump is reportedly growing disinterested in supporting Israel due to the financial burden and the allure of massive investments from the Gulf states—primarily Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE.

    Gulf Investment in the U.S.:

    Saudi Arabia: Pledged $600 billion in U.S. investments.

    Qatar: Expected to announce $200–$300 billion.

    UAE: Promising $1.4 trillion over the next 10 years.

    Trump is being courted with personal luxuries, such as a "Palace in the Sky" jet, which may influence his policy decisions.

    Potential Policy Shift:

    Some commentators suggest Trump might moderate his support for Israel if it benefits him politically or financially.

    This shift could also align with Saudi Arabia’s push for Palestinian statehood as a prerequisite for normalizing relations with Israel.

    Saudi Position on Gaza: Saudi officials have publicly condemned Israel’s actions in Gaza as violations of international law, calling for an end to occupation and annexation.

    Humanitarian Crisis in Gaza:

    Severe famine conditions: nearly half a million Gazans face "catastrophic hunger."

    The Israeli blockade has prevented aid, food, and medicine from entering for over two months.

    The suffering is not due to natural causes but a direct result of policy—seen by critics as collective punishment.

    The media, particularly in the U.S., is criticized for underreporting the humanitarian toll and context, especially Yemen’s Ansar Allah’s actions in solidarity with Palestinians.

    Growing Western Awareness:

    Some UK politicians are reconsidering their support for Israel.

    Images and reports of children suffering are making it harder for the public to accept the justification that it's purely a fight against Hamas.

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    Following the May 9th Victory Day parade in Moscow, Russia resumed full-scale military operations in Ukraine, including overnight drone strikes. Despite a brief pause around the parade, hostilities quickly resumed. Ukraine had attempted to disrupt the parade with hundreds of drones and missiles, which Russia largely intercepted.

    Colonel Douglas Macgregor criticized the West’s continued surprise at Russian aggression, arguing that Russia has consistently stated it would not stop fighting until its objectives are met. He also condemned what he sees as strategic confusion and inconsistency from former President Trump, who reportedly aligned with European leaders in calling for a 30-day ceasefire. Macgregor views this as a betrayal of Trump’s earlier position acknowledging Russia's grievances and territorial claims.

    He expressed concern that Trump’s current stance undermines any potential credibility with Russia and aligns him with globalist leaders in Europe who Macgregor blames for weakening national identities. He believes the West is prolonging the war by continuing to arm Ukraine and asserts that Ukraine’s government is selling off the country’s assets while being propped up by Western powers.

    Despite talk of peace talks in Turkey, Macgregor remains skeptical, arguing that unless Ukraine accepts neutrality and recognizes Russia's territorial gains, negotiations are unlikely to succeed. He concludes that Russia is perceived globally as defending its interests, while Ukraine has been exploited by Western powers.

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  • The video analyzes recent diplomatic developments around the Russia-Ukraine war, particularly a proposed meeting in Istanbul on Thursday between Russian and Ukrainian leaders. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky demanded a 30-day unconditional ceasefire from Russian President Vladimir Putin, which was largely dismissed. Instead, Russia proposed direct talks in Istanbul, bypassing the ceasefire demand.

    The speaker argues that Putin feels confident due to Russia's superior military and strategic position and is unwilling to accept ceasefire terms from a weaker Ukraine. Zelensky's demand is described as unrealistic and potentially provocative. Former U.S. President Donald Trump initially supported the ceasefire but then appeared to support Russia’s proposal for negotiations.

    Zelensky later agreed to attend the meeting but reiterated his ceasefire demand, while also making statements that seemed confrontational. The speaker claims this mirrors Zelensky’s past behavior, such as reportedly rejecting an early peace deal in 2022 that could have ended the war — a decision allegedly made by Zelensky himself, not solely under Western pressure.

    Ultimately, the video casts doubt on the likelihood of a genuine diplomatic breakthrough, suggesting that Zelensky continues to miss opportunities for peace, potentially prolonging the conflict and its human cost.

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