Avsnitt
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As he prepares to retire from a 40-year career in FX, including the last 25 at T. Rowe Price where he currently serves as Head of FX, Toby Baker reflects on how technology has transformed buy-side trading desks. He examines how the rise of e-trading reshaped market structure by driving new efficiencies, and explores the next wave of innovation — from AI and automation to tokenisation and advanced data analytics — set to define the future of FX trading.
Baker also discusses the pivotal role FX plays as both a global asset class and a core component of investment portfolios, and considers how traders can continue to add value in an increasingly automated environment. Finally, he reflects on the best career advice he has received and shares his own guidance for the next generation of FX professionals.
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As tradition dictates, Colin Lambert, Co-Founder of The Full FX, kicks off the year by joining our first podcast to unpack the biggest moments and surprises from FX in 2025 — and to offer his predictions for what lies ahead. Undeterred by the mixed fortunes of last year’s calls, Lambert forecasts major crypto and stablecoin developments in traditional FX, pre-emptively bemoans the noise around Europe’s shift to T+1, and warns that technology is starting to threaten established market-data businesses. He also makes the case for continued investment in discretionary funds, predicts at least one major hedge fund casualty in 2026, and — after a stellar Trade of the Year performance in 2025 — explains why he’s now selling TBH/HUF.
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This episode begins with Michael Angjeli, Treasury Manager, FX, at Wise, discussing how the goals and objectives of FX trading and risk management within treasury organisations shape and dictate execution decisions. He then explains how Wise has adapted its hedging strategies in response to market volatility, adopting a more dynamic approach to adjusting hedge ratios, particularly for emerging market currencies. Angjeli also highlights the proactive steps Wise has taken to leverage technology and robust analytics to achieve cost reductions, efficiency gains, consistent pricing, and minimised operational risk in FX trading.
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In this episode of the 360T podcast, Allan Guild, Director at Hilltop Walk Consulting, shares insights from his role chairing the recent TradeTech FX USA conference. These include how rising geopolitical uncertainty has heightened the focus on FX as an asset class, the ever-changing liquidity landscape and the growing importance of data-driven decision-making on the buy side. Guild also discusses the increasing role of automation and the evolution of FX algo trading, the challenges of integrating new technology into existing infrastructures, and the competitive pressures driving buy-side firms to accept change.
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Once again, Colin Lambert, Co-Founder of The Full FX, joins the podcast to make a series of predictions for the year ahead. But first we review and, for the first time ever, score his predictions from 2024 – has Lambert been looking into a crystal ball or a snow globe? Looking ahead to 2025, Lambert predicts that volatility will drive trading volumes up significantly across the industry, that regulators in the UK and Europe will get serious about enforcing rules for trading platforms and that the latest wave of non-bank market makers to enter the FX will find it a challenging marketplace. He also makes the case that FX options trading activity will continue shifting towards electronic trading platforms, sees currency CTAs heading for a banner year and suspects that debates around pre-hedging will rumble on with no real conclusion in sight. And, of course, Lambert picks out his infamous Trade of the Year!
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Our 50th episode features Mark Mulholland from Fidelity International discussing his recent deep-dive analysis on FX trade rejections, and their impact on execution quality and outcomes. Despite the topic of last look grabbing industry headlines in recent years, Mulholland explains that other often overlooked issues — such as static data — proved to be a bigger driver of reject rates for his firm and highlights the challenges posed by a lack of data standarisation across the FX industry. He also outlines how his analysis has helped Fidelity International realise a significant drop in the number of FX trade reject rates and points to an opportunity for sell-side firms to provide better pricing to clients and, ultimately, improve market efficiency.
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Marc Chandler, Chief Market Strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex, breaks down some of the key themes and trends impacting the FX market. He discusses the fallout of the recent unwinding of the yen carry trade on corporations, explains why currency markets don't always follow a pattern of cause-and-effect and argues that the US dollar will remain at the centre of financial markets - but not necessarily for the reasons that many people assume. Chandler also looks ahead to a potential rate cut by the US Federal Reserve Bank and a divisive presidential election, making the case that the dollar is set for a cyclical downturn.
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In this episode Nathan Vurgest, Director of Trading at Record Financial Group, talks in-depth about how data is changing and shaping FX trading desks. He outlines the challenges facing buy-side firms as they try to access and make sense of all the trade data which they generate internally, explains how traders are evolving to provide more value beyond just FX execution and highlights that this broadening role introduces new complexities around effectively measuring best execution.
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As is something of a tradition on the 360T podcast now, Colin Lambert, Co-Founder of The Full FX, joins as a guest to review the accuracy of his 2023 predictions and make a series of new ones for the year ahead. Lambert receives some gentle criticism for making "obvious" predictions last year, which perhaps prompted him to be more daring this year as his 2024 predictions encompass cybersecurity threats, why the shift to T+1 settlement might only be the tip of the iceberg, flash crashes in the FX market, a good year for discretionary trading, cryptocurrency adoptions and more! And although Lambert concedes he is in danger of becoming a reverse indicator with his infamous Trade of the Year, he nevertheless makes his pick for 2024.
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This episode features two experts, Tobias Rank from Eurex and David Holcome from 360T, taking a deep dive into why more FX market participants are turning towards Exchange for Physical (EFP) products, and how the listed FX marketplace is likely to evolve in the future. The pair also tackle questions about how regulations are changing the economics of OTC trading, whether there is really a demand to support more listed FX trading and the shortcomings of OTC FX clearing.
Additional resources about EFPs:
FX EFPs – the best of two worlds
FX EFP tutorial – mechanics and use cases -
FX is a highly liquid market, with many different currencies to trade that are constantly moving against one another, so why don’t investors typically think about this asset class when building out their portfolios? In this episode Van Luu, Global Head of Solutions Strategy, Fixed Income and FX at Russell Investments, addresses this question and explains the important role that currency strategies can play in helping investors to diversify a multi-asset portfolio. In particular, he talks about how a currency strategy which leverages three factors — Carry, Value and Trend — can offer low (or even negative) correlation to traditional assets, providing a boost to multi-asset portfolios while generating little or no additional risk.
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The FX Global Code of Conduct has been a major and ongoing industry initiative since 2015, but it's been well documented that buy-side adoption of the Code has lagged behind other segments of the marketplace. In this episode Dagmara Fijalkowski, head of global fixed income and currencies at RBC GAM, talks about why buy-side adoption of the Code has been slow thus far, what possible steps could be taken to accelerate it and how the Code has brought tangible benefits to both RBC GAM specifically, and the FX industry more broadly.
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While the consequences of geopolitical events are felt in the currency markets first, in the long-term it is fundamentals that continue to drive this asset class, says Adrian Lee, the President and CIO of Adrian Lee & Partners, in this episode. He discusses emerging trends across both, as well as identifying the fault lines in the global economy where we might see the next big risk factors emerge from. Lee also discusses how and why investor attitudes towards currency management are changing, helps to get beyond some of the jargon surrounding these services and makes the case for active over passive currency management.
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How is artificial intelligence (AI) likely to change the way that financial products, including FX, are traded? This is the key question addressed by Saeed Amen, co-founder of Turnleaf Analytics, in the wake of the recent hype around this technology sparked by new tools such as ChatGTP. Amen outlines some of his own experiments with AI chatbots, discusses the importance of having access to high quality data in order to train AI models and helps to parse through some of the terminology and misconceptions surrounding this technology. He also addresses how AI will change the role of the human trader, predicting that the curation of trading activity and then providing a narrative around this will become increasingly important.
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Colin Lambert, Co-Founder of the Full FX, joins 360T to review his 2022 predictions and is surprised to find that while he achieved mixed scores on the forecasts he claimed were “certain” to happen, his “wildcard” ones fared much better. Perhaps this is a sign of what an unpredictable year it was? Looking ahead, Lambert picks out the key themes which he thinks will define the FX industry in 2023 and once again makes a series of predictions for the year ahead. And finally, completely undaunted by the poor results of previous years, he once again announces his Trade of the Year.
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In our latest podcast episode Ivan Asensio from Silicon Valley Bank discusses two recent papers, which he co-authored looking at the impact of FX on firms looking to raise equity and those preparing for an IPO. The results of both, he argues, help to make the case that FX should be viewed as a strategic rather than operational concern within organisations.
Asensio also talks about how the marketplace has shifted to “a new paradigm” where controlling costs has replaced growth as the primary focus, and claims that this makes effective FX management more important than ever.
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We are in a period of economic uncertainty with rising inflation, divergent central bank policies, supply chain constraints and geopolitical turmoil fueled by a land war in Europe.
Against this backdrop how should investors be positioning themselves and what should we expect in the currency markets? These are amongst the questions that Pedro Jobim from Brazilian hedge fund Legacy Capital addresses in our latest episode.
Jobim also provides his economic outlook for Brazil ahead of what is shaping up to be a potentially contentious presidential election there later this year. -
The Investment Association (IA), which represents UK-based investment firms managing £9.4 trillion of assets globally, recently published a briefing paper calling for reform on FX sub-custodian timestamping.
In this episode Hugo Gordon from the IA explains why this issue, which might initially seem to be something of a niche concern, can have significant ramifications for investment managers and outlines steps which can be taken by both buy-side and sell-side firms to help resolve it.
Gordon also discusses the FX Global Code of Conduct, highlighting some of the factors which might have slowed buy-side adoption previously and areas where increased clarity has been welcomed by the IA’s membership. -
In this episode Eoin Fahy from KBI Global Investors provides a buy-side perspective on ESG investing, arguing that applying these principles to investment decisions actually helps rather than hinders the overall performance of portfolios. He also explains how the considerations around ESG investing have grown substantially more sophisticated in recent years as its popularity has exploded and ponders how these principles will ultimately be applied to the FX market.
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ESG: What Isn’t Being Talked About
ESG has, to put it mildly, been a hot topic within financial services in recent years, but in our latest podcast episode Duncan Higgins from Sustainable Trading argues that while much of the focus has been on products or processes that are ESG-friendly there are myriad of ways that operational processes could also be improved on this front. He goes on to talk about the need to define ESG best practices for the industry, why change needs to be driven from both the top-down and the bottom-up and how firms can avoid initiatives in this area becoming simply “tick-box” marketing exercises.
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